inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 126 Excitement2.5 [1244] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +14.6%
Golden State Warriors 89 Comeback1.1 [1030] LVPAl Harrington (GSW): -6.7%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.130.00-0.01789%0.151-0.00580%0.00
Michael Finley0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.170.010.051283%0.1300.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.00-0.041361%0.113-0.04786%0.01
Bruce Bowen0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.01867%0.102-0.035100%0.02
Jacque Vaughn0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01267%0.021-0.002100%0.00
Tony Parker0.010,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.051067%0.053-0.041080%-0.00
Francisco Elson0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Matt Bonner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062150%0.0010.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%0.0000.0000%0.00
James White-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.08482%-0.0000.003100%-0.00
Fabricio Oberto-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.08450%0.004-0.0000%0.00
Brent Barry-0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.050.000.05491%0.032-0.03367%-0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.00-0.041359%0.111-0.013100%0.01
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.01671%0.051-0.012100%0.01
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.070.00-0.08744%0.043-0.0220%0.00
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kelenna Azubuike0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02636%0.0000.00250%0.00
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.050.000.05667%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04520%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00850%0.012-0.03887%0.02
Baron Davis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.031940%-0.011-0.01475%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.07-0.000.09583%-0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.170.00-0.1080%-0.052-0.0100%0.00
Al Harrington0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.00-0.0458%-0.051-0.02250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.11.832.215.428.01.827.2133.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +44.4%
SAS +5.0%
GSW -0.7%
GSW -1.5%
SAS +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASGSWNBASASGSWNBA
this game14.413.415.4123.584.8104.5
season16.213.5107.5105.7
opponent15.215.4105.798.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.213.313.816.514.4
GSW12.414.313.413.513.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen72750.490.010.48-0.603703713.516.5-2.9913.613.00.54
Tim Duncan59590.440.060.38-0.2925121313.815.3-1.4813.812.90.90
Manu Ginobili50500.330.170.16-0.4025121313.115.7-2.5914.412.51.87
Michael Finley44450.330.170.16-0.693523313.315.2-1.9014.013.00.98
Tony Parker63630.330.170.16-0.553072314.015.0-0.9813.613.20.38
Brent Barry37380.190.31-0.11-0.04829-2115.214.01.2013.213.5-0.33
Jacque Vaughn39420.170.33-0.16-0.04730-2315.014.00.9813.213.6-0.38
Francisco Elson41430.140.36-0.22-0.241324-1114.214.5-0.3012.314.2-1.89
Matt Bonner29310.070.43-0.360.04136-3515.813.91.9213.113.5-0.41
James White30310.000.50-0.49-0.17631-2516.113.72.3812.913.6-0.78
Fabricio Oberto26270.000.50-0.500.00037-3716.613.72.8913.013.6-0.56
Beno Udrih20210.000.50-0.500.06-239-4116.713.92.9012.713.6-0.94

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelenna Azubuike2120-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-394112.713.6-0.9416.713.92.90
Josh Powell2424-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-363513.513.40.1016.513.82.72
Sarunas Jasikevicius2726-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-373713.013.6-0.5616.613.72.89
Adonal Foyle2221-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-363512.713.6-0.9314.814.30.49
Matt Barnes3737-0.15-0.350.200.73-30-7-2313.713.30.4014.414.40.02
Al Harrington4242-0.15-0.350.190.05-7-302312.014.4-2.4414.114.6-0.55
Mickael Pietrus5855-0.24-0.260.030.38-21-16-512.814.1-1.3214.414.4-0.01
Jason Richardson6563-0.31-0.19-0.120.57-30-7-2313.413.4-0.0113.615.7-2.14
Andris Biedrins4948-0.31-0.19-0.130.27-20-17-314.212.71.4314.214.6-0.32
Baron Davis5755-0.40-0.10-0.300.30-24-13-1113.713.10.5814.314.5-0.20
Monta Ellis6461-0.43-0.07-0.360.54-33-4-2914.112.41.6913.316.1-2.80
Stephen Jackson5958-0.43-0.07-0.370.15-20-17-314.012.71.2914.214.7-0.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 95, VAN 760.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.3%
MIN 91, DET 800.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,097.1%
NOH 105, OKC 800.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%