NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	121		Excitement	6.1 [622]		MVP	Malik Monk (CHA): +40.1%
Charlotte Hornets	126		Comeback	2.9 [585]		LVP	Dwight Howard (CHA): -9.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.24	0.30	0.09	0.15	28	65%	0.24	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.01	-0.06	16	61%	0.17	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Tony Snell	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.02	0.08	7	121%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	8	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	16	39%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.19	0.18	-0.03	17	74%	0.40	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.20	0.03	-0.00	12	84%	0.24	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.04
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	9	53%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.02	0.06	8	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.04	0.02	11	59%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	10	55%	0.11	6	-0.20	11	45%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.7	25.1	0.2	25.1	2.4	38.5	117.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +22.3%

CHA +6.1%

CHA +15.4%

CHA +7.4%

MIL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.0	15.4	14.7	123.5	128.6	107.5
season	14.3	14.6		108.5	108.7
opponent	14.5	15.4		108.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.8	14.8	15.1	13.5	14.0
CHA	17.2	15.2	15.5	13.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Liggins	12	14	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-9	13	13.9	14.0	-0.13	15.2	15.4	-0.17
John Henson	61	60	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.27	12	-17	29	13.7	14.6	-0.99	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Giannis Antetokounmpo	67	68	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.34	14	-19	33	13.4	15.4	-2.03	15.5	15.1	0.32
Matthew Dellavedova	37	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-2	-1	14.8	13.6	1.17	15.5	15.3	0.23
Tony Snell	78	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-5	5	13.6	15.9	-2.35	15.5	14.9	0.58
Khris Middleton	81	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.35	1	-6	7	14.0	14.3	-0.32	15.4	15.3	0.03
Thon Maker	37	38	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.08	-17	12	-29	14.6	13.7	0.99	15.9	15.0	0.88
Mirza Teletovic	41	41	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.08	-20	15	-35	15.2	13.2	2.09	15.0	15.6	-0.53
Malcolm Brogdon	76	76	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.29	-16	11	-27	14.2	13.6	0.57	15.3	15.7	-0.42

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Treveon Graham	49	49	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-11	27	15.6	15.1	0.55	14.8	13.3	1.53
Malik Monk	45	45	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-1	7	15.1	15.6	-0.50	14.9	13.3	1.55
Cody Zeller	37	36	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-9	23	15.1	15.5	-0.49	15.5	13.2	2.32
Frank Kaminsky	49	49	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	-13	31	15.6	15.1	0.43	15.3	12.7	2.59
Dwayne Bacon	52	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	0	5	13.8	17.1	-3.26	14.4	13.6	0.88
Kemba Walker	71	71	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	13	-21	15.6	14.7	0.95	13.4	15.7	-2.26
Jeremy Lamb	49	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	7	-9	15.6	15.2	0.39	13.2	14.8	-1.61
Dwight Howard	61	62	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.30	-11	16	-27	15.5	15.1	0.49	13.2	15.5	-2.32
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	14	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	7	-9	18.6	14.8	3.83	13.1	14.2	-1.04
Marvin Williams	63	63	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	16	-27	15.3	15.5	-0.29	13.0	15.9	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.79,0.76,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1	94.3%
NYK 92, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.2%
IND 86, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.1%