NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	92		Excitement	5.3 [750]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +12.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	100		Comeback	3.3 [407]		LVP	Mike Miller (ORL): -16.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.02	7	79%	0.15	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.09	0.03	0.05	32	59%	0.13	2	-0.05	15	73%	-0.02
Horace Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.03	-0.03	16	30%	-0.06	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	12	70%	0.16	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.01	11	73%	0.14	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.03	-0.02	6	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.08	0.05	-0.06	16	44%	0.08	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	2	86%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	15	48%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	27.5	16.0	25.5	2.0	35.4	133.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +44.2%

LAC +14.0%

ORL -8.5%

LAC +0.6%

ORL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	17.0	15.6	103.4	111.1	102.3
season	14.6	15.9		104.6	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		104.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.6	16.7	16.4	14.2	15.2
LAC	17.0	15.3	17.9	17.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	25	24	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.01	6	-14	20	14.6	15.4	-0.88	17.8	16.7	1.11
Horace Grant	59	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-9	10	15.6	14.3	1.34	17.2	16.6	0.56
Tracy McGrady	80	80	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-8	8	14.3	23.2	-8.93	17.7	11.1	6.61
Darrell Armstrong	72	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-9	10	14.0	20.4	-6.45	17.7	13.7	4.03
Jud Buechler	16	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	0	-8	20.8	14.0	6.85	12.0	18.1	-6.14
Patrick Ewing	20	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	2	-12	16.8	14.7	2.14	16.3	17.2	-0.91
Mike Miller	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-5	2	14.3	21.1	-6.81	17.5	13.8	3.63
Monty Williams	9	8	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	1	-10	21.0	14.5	6.46	16.7	17.0	-0.25
Troy Hudson	30	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	15.3	15.1	0.21	16.0	17.5	-1.54
Andrew DeClercq	12	13	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	1	-10	20.7	14.3	6.43	14.2	17.5	-3.30
Pat Garrity	45	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-4	0	14.6	15.8	-1.15	16.7	17.3	-0.67

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	32	33	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.00	24	-16	40	16.2	17.4	-1.27	17.5	13.9	3.60
Quentin Richardson	54	54	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.11	18	-10	28	16.3	18.1	-1.80	14.8	15.8	-0.96
Darius Miles	62	61	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-7	22	16.4	18.2	-1.79	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Jeff McInnis	76	73	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.37	-1	9	-10	17.0	16.7	0.31	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Lamar Odom	55	56	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	3	2	17.6	15.9	1.69	15.9	13.9	2.04
Earl Boykins	26	26	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	6	-4	17.4	16.8	0.63	12.9	16.1	-3.26
Corey Maggette	69	65	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.18	-3	11	-14	16.5	18.4	-1.89	15.2	15.2	0.03
Michael Olowokandi	27	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	15	-22	18.0	16.5	1.51	15.7	15.0	0.74
Elton Brand	49	50	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.16	-13	21	-34	18.0	15.8	2.24	14.3	16.3	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.79,0.76,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 121, CHA 126	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.98,1	94.3%
PHX 93, MIN 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	93.1%
BKN 89, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%