NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	141		Excitement	4.0 [1041]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +23.5%
LA Clippers	113		Comeback	1.4 [1000]		LVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): -5.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.27	0.04	0.07	14	86%	0.26	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	0.00	11	76%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Jordan Bell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	4	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Nick Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	5	70%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	15	61%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	8	63%	0.08	3	-0.04	11	91%	0.04
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.04	11	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brice Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawun Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	57%	0.06	4	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.3	29.4	14.6	28.9	1.8	25.5	130.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.4%

GSW +0.1%

GSW +3.1%

GSW +9.6%

LAC -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	13.4	14.6	14.7	136.9	109.7	107.5
season	13.7	14.2		112.6	109.2
opponent	14.6	15.1		109.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	11.4	12.7	16.3	13.4
LAC	17.2	13.9	15.0	12.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	64	65	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.12	23	5	18	12.1	15.5	-3.43	15.7	12.7	3.05
Shaun Livingston	29	32	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.21	25	3	22	12.2	13.8	-1.63	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Draymond Green	69	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	12	4	11.9	16.3	-4.40	15.0	13.7	1.26
Kevin Durant	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.14	18	10	8	12.9	14.1	-1.19	16.1	12.4	3.76
Andre Iguodala	51	51	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.36	23	5	18	13.1	13.7	-0.63	13.7	15.5	-1.81
JaVale McGee	32	33	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.21	16	12	4	13.8	13.2	0.67	13.0	15.3	-2.37
Jordan Bell	25	25	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	18	-8	14.3	13.1	1.19	13.1	15.1	-1.98
Klay Thompson	66	63	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	26	-24	13.2	13.7	-0.55	15.2	13.6	1.57
Nick Young	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	17.2	12.8	4.41	11.8	15.0	-3.22
Omri Casspi	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	17.2	12.8	4.41	11.8	15.0	-3.22
Zaza Pachulia	26	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	33	-38	12.9	13.5	-0.66	17.8	13.5	4.31
Patrick McCaw	39	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.20	5	23	-18	15.5	12.1	3.43	12.7	15.7	-3.05
David West	26	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.15	3	25	-22	16.0	12.5	3.51	13.4	14.9	-1.51

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Montrezl Harrell	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-26	24	11.8	15.0	-3.22	17.2	12.8	4.41
Sam Dekker	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-26	24	11.8	15.0	-3.22	17.2	12.8	4.41
Brice Johnson	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-26	24	11.8	15.0	-3.22	17.2	12.8	4.41
Jawun Evans	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-26	24	11.8	15.0	-3.22	17.2	12.8	4.41
Sindarius Thornwell	37	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.38	-17	-11	-6	13.6	15.1	-1.54	13.6	13.3	0.29
Willie Reed	25	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.16	-12	-16	4	14.0	14.8	-0.82	14.5	13.1	1.43
Patrick Beverley	51	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.18	-13	-15	2	16.7	12.5	4.13	13.6	13.1	0.54
Wesley Johnson	39	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-16	4	12.7	15.7	-3.00	13.1	13.5	-0.43
Danilo Gallinari	75	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.16	-13	-15	2	14.7	14.3	0.36	12.9	14.6	-1.74
DeAndre Jordan	57	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-22	16	15.6	13.3	2.23	12.6	14.4	-1.81
Austin Rivers	59	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-23	18	15.4	13.4	2.01	12.9	14.0	-1.02
Blake Griffin	61	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.18	-23	-5	-18	16.4	11.9	4.52	12.2	15.3	-3.10
Lou Williams	59	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.39	-31	3	-34	13.5	16.0	-2.47	12.5	14.6	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, BKN 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
IND 104, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
CHI 99, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.5%