NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	93		Excitement	2.9 [1209]		MVP	Frank Kaminsky (CHA): +11.3%
Charlotte Hornets	110		Comeback	1.3 [632]		LVP	Emmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -12.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.02	11	78%	0.12	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Will Barton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.09	13	31%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Malik Beasley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	10	35%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	17	53%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	0.03	6	47%	0.00	3	-0.06	5	40%	0.01
Jamal Murray	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	20	38%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	8	11%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	15	67%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	6	89%	0.10	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	14	61%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	9	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mangok Mathiang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Paige	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	60%	0.03	7	-0.06	11	64%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	26.4	14.6	28.2	2.4	31.3	129.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +49.1%

DEN -3.3%

DEN -5.9%

CHA +7.2%

CHA +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CHA	NBA	DEN	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	14.3	14.7	94.9	108.9	107.5
season	14.7	14.6		111.2	108.7
opponent	14.5	14.7		108.5	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.3	17.4	13.5	12.8	14.7
CHA	15.3	13.3	14.2	14.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Lyles	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-23	29	13.5	14.8	-1.27	14.6	14.3	0.29
Wilson Chandler	62	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-19	21	14.1	15.6	-1.50	14.9	13.3	1.56
Mason Plumlee	44	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.35	7	-24	31	13.2	15.8	-2.56	13.5	15.0	-1.53
Kenneth Faried	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-9	1	18.8	14.2	4.53	10.3	14.7	-4.34
Emmanuel Mudiay	31	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-13	9	13.9	15.0	-1.16	13.1	14.9	-1.82
Malik Beasley	31	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-17	17	14.2	14.9	-0.64	14.6	14.1	0.47
Nikola Jokic	62	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.29	-19	2	-21	15.2	13.7	1.49	14.4	14.1	0.33
Jamal Murray	64	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-4	-9	15.1	13.8	1.29	15.3	12.4	2.95
Will Barton	63	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-10	3	13.8	16.2	-2.43	13.3	16.0	-2.70
Gary Harris	62	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.28	-22	5	-27	15.3	13.6	1.66	14.2	14.5	-0.34
Paul Millsap	54	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.36	-27	10	-37	15.8	13.3	2.52	15.4	13.0	2.36

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	57	57	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.13	20	-3	23	14.7	13.8	0.91	16.1	12.7	3.45
Frank Kaminsky	63	60	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	-1	19	12.9	16.6	-3.63	14.1	15.6	-1.50
Kemba Walker	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.38	26	-9	35	14.7	13.5	1.27	15.1	13.9	1.20
Dwayne Bacon	55	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	13	-9	13.9	14.7	-0.75	13.8	15.6	-1.74
Malik Monk	55	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	4	9	13.3	15.5	-2.15	14.5	14.8	-0.28
Dwight Howard	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	2	13	14.5	14.0	0.46	15.5	13.7	1.82
Johnny O'Bryant III	43	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	19	-21	14.2	14.3	-0.14	13.7	15.3	-1.60
Marvin Williams	42	41	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.20	12	5	7	15.8	13.2	2.61	15.1	14.3	0.79
Treveon Graham	37	34	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.25	-7	24	-31	13.8	14.5	-0.71	12.6	15.7	-3.13
Mangok Mathiang	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	22	-27	15.4	14.2	1.23	14.3	14.7	-0.41
Marcus Paige	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	24	-31	16.3	14.2	2.18	11.2	14.8	-3.65
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	21	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	19	-21	15.8	13.9	1.86	16.6	14.1	2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 78, HOU 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
TOR 97, HOU 127	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
IND 87, WAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%