NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	9.0 [145]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (MIN): +57.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	3.6 [405]		LVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): -39.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.37	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,0.35,0.37	0.02	0.44	0.09	10	61%	0.49	4	-0.12	11	91%	0.08
Rodney Hood	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.13	-0.00	12	74%	0.30	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Joe Ingles	0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.13	0.07	0.01	8	87%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	112%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alec Burks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	7	13%	-0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	15	53%	-0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.4	-0.04	-0.35	0.00	10	50%	-0.15	3	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.35,0.35,0.58	0.58	0.12	0.46	-0.00	10	77%	0.75	1	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	5	100%	0.20	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	12	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	19	48%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	14	42%	-0.07	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	10	42%	-0.11	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.6	26.0	13.7	26.6	2.5	48.1	140.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +31.4%

UTA -21.2%

MIN +18.2%

MIN +17.8%

MIN +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	14.7	101.0	104.2	107.5
season	15.1	15.3		106.6	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.6		110.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.6	13.6	14.9	13.0	14.2
MIN	16.5	14.6	15.8	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	29	29	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.10	12	-15	27	14.7	14.0	0.66	15.4	15.9	-0.46
Rodney Hood	48	49	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.16	10	-13	23	13.8	14.7	-0.92	16.3	15.2	1.09
Derrick Favors	58	60	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.35	13	-16	29	13.3	15.6	-2.28	16.1	15.2	0.92
Donovan Mitchell	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-2	1	14.8	13.9	0.88	16.7	15.2	1.47
Alec Burks	15	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	2	-7	16.9	13.7	3.20	15.2	15.9	-0.68
Joe Ingles	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	0	-3	14.4	13.8	0.53	15.4	16.7	-1.32
Thabo Sefolosha	50	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.38	-2	-1	-1	13.5	15.0	-1.56	16.2	15.3	0.93
Ricky Rubio	67	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	5	-13	14.1	14.6	-0.56	15.1	17.5	-2.44
Joe Johnson	38	36	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	13	-29	15.6	13.3	2.28	15.2	16.1	-0.92
Rudy Gobert	67	67	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.31	-15	12	-27	14.0	14.7	-0.66	15.9	15.4	0.46

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	24	24	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-11	25	16.7	15.5	1.19	16.0	13.6	2.36
Gorgui Dieng	28	29	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-8	19	16.6	15.4	1.23	16.2	13.4	2.88
Andrew Wiggins	70	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	-1	5	15.5	16.5	-1.05	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Jeff Teague	68	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	2	-1	15.4	16.6	-1.13	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Jimmy Butler	80	79	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.31	-2	5	-7	15.3	18.0	-2.67	13.9	15.6	-1.72
Tyus Jones	28	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	1	1	16.6	15.4	1.13	14.5	14.1	0.38
Jamal Crawford	39	39	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.47	-8	11	-19	17.1	14.9	2.16	13.2	14.9	-1.77
Karl-Anthony Towns	68	67	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	11	-19	15.4	16.6	-1.23	13.4	16.2	-2.88
Shabazz Muhammad	22	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	6	-9	17.1	15.4	1.71	14.9	14.0	0.92
Taj Gibson	53	53	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	-1	5	14.9	16.8	-1.89	14.6	13.8	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.44,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.72,0.94,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.71,0.83,0.95,0.63,0.77,0.92,1	90.9%
VAN 82, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.95,1	90.3%
DEN 94, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.98,1,1	90.2%