inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 102 Excitement4.5 [903] MVPWillie Reed (MIA): +16.0%
Miami Heat 110 Comeback1.7 [1113] LVPBrandon Jennings (WAS): -13.1%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trey Burke0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.230.000.091396%0.152-0.012100%0.01
Marcin Gortat0.130,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.010.01984%0.151-0.0210%-0.01
Otto Porter Jr.0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.01858%0.0500.003100%0.02
Daniel Ochefu0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.000.03667%0.0100.0000%0.00
Sheldon McClellan0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.010.041164%0.052-0.04683%0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.00-0.01-0.01844%0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris McCullough-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Jason Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.00-0.00337%-0.012-0.05250%-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.-0.060,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.001233%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Tomas Satoransky-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.120.00-0.02714%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.00911%-0.1300.0000%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Willie Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.120.02-0.02989%0.171-0.0100%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.040.021760%0.151-0.02667%0.02
Josh Richardson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.02-0.021262%0.1010.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.01-0.041150%0.072-0.022100%0.01
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.001045%0.0100.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.020.032161%0.117-0.134100%0.01
Rodney McGruder0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02250%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Okaro White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00450%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.426.515.423.52.427.3119.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +41.1%
MIA +4.0%
MIA +16.1%
WAS -12.5%
MIA +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMIANBAWASMIANBA
this game14.116.114.8107.4114.6107.7
season14.415.4109.9106.7
opponent14.514.9105.9108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.413.713.714.514.1
MIA16.315.614.518.216.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris McCullough1313-0.02-0.480.47-0.196-142013.514.2-0.6316.716.00.73
Jason Smith1213-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-7613.714.1-0.4815.816.1-0.25
Daniel Ochefu3232-0.12-0.380.26-0.244-121614.014.1-0.1716.815.71.08
Kelly Oubre Jr.6059-0.13-0.370.23-0.130-8813.614.9-1.2715.317.3-2.01
Tomas Satoransky5860-0.17-0.330.16-0.294-121614.313.80.4916.415.60.81
Otto Porter Jr.2930-0.22-0.280.070.02-80-813.914.2-0.2715.516.3-0.77
Brandon Jennings5656-0.25-0.250.00-0.07-6-2-414.214.00.1915.716.6-0.96
Bojan Bogdanovic3638-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.02-102-1214.114.1-0.0016.515.80.68
Marcin Gortat5151-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-113-1414.313.90.3715.716.5-0.84
Trey Burke5959-0.45-0.06-0.39-0.12-113-1414.413.60.7216.615.31.29
Sheldon McClellan6969-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.24-7-1-614.213.70.4916.215.60.65

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Richardson74740.420.080.340.2462416.016.4-0.3914.014.2-0.20
Hassan Whiteside62610.410.090.320.1210-21215.816.6-0.7714.213.80.41
Wayne Ellington59590.400.100.290.2553216.814.91.8214.114.00.14
James Johnson75740.390.110.280.2162415.816.9-1.0813.914.9-1.05
Goran Dragic75730.320.180.140.1462415.817.0-1.2014.213.70.52
Tyler Johnson38380.180.32-0.13-0.0271616.016.1-0.1014.214.00.12
Rodney McGruder42410.180.32-0.140.1808-815.816.3-0.5313.814.3-0.49
Willie Reed28290.160.34-0.180.0444016.515.90.5714.713.80.82
Okaro White24240.040.46-0.420.0408-816.815.81.0314.414.00.39
Udonis Haslem320.000.50-0.500.12-412-1617.716.01.666.514.2-7.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 84, SAS 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.7%
DET 90, CLE 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
DAL 110, LAC 1190.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,195.5%