NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	110		Excitement	4.6 [882]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +26.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	119		Comeback	1.8 [309]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -9.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	12	63%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.01	0.07	16	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tim Hardaway	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	14	55%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	17	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.01	16	88%	0.29	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.03
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	17	56%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Harold Jamison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	64%	0.04	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	18	39%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.7	29.5	17.7	23.3	1.8	28.2	130.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +45.6%

LAC +2.8%

LAC +2.5%

DAL -6.4%

LAC +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	13.5	15.9	15.6	111.1	122.7	102.3
season	14.8	15.9		109.6	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.0	15.2	12.7	13.0	13.5
LAC	14.8	11.9	18.7	18.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	12.0	13.6	-1.61	20.5	15.6	4.91
Evan Eschmeyer	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-7	5	12.3	13.7	-1.43	16.6	15.8	0.87
Danny Manning	16	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-10	11	13.6	13.5	0.13	19.8	15.1	4.76
Shawn Bradley	25	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-9	9	13.8	13.4	0.33	14.8	16.3	-1.48
Adrian Griffin	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-8	7	13.9	13.3	0.66	15.1	16.4	-1.27
Wang Zhi-zhi	34	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-8	7	13.2	13.7	-0.52	18.0	14.9	3.09
Eduardo Najera	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-5	1	14.8	13.0	1.81	16.2	15.8	0.35
Tim Hardaway	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-5	1	13.4	13.6	-0.13	18.4	13.4	4.99
Juwan Howard	71	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-3	-3	13.2	14.2	-0.97	14.3	20.3	-5.97
Dirk Nowitzki	76	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	2	-13	13.6	13.1	0.56	15.5	17.2	-1.69
Steve Nash	65	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	13.5	13.6	-0.07	15.1	17.3	-2.26
Michael Finley	78	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	8	-25	13.5	13.7	-0.19	15.2	18.1	-2.90

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	67	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-5	19	16.4	14.7	1.73	13.5	13.5	0.05
Eric Piatkowski	97	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	15.9	0.0	15.90	13.5	0.0	13.52
Corey Maggette	90	91	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	1	7	16.0	14.1	1.89	13.6	12.2	1.38
Michael Olowokandi	86	88	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	3	3	16.2	13.6	2.55	13.5	13.8	-0.34
Jeff McInnis	87	86	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.29	-1	10	-11	16.4	11.2	5.24	13.4	14.5	-1.09
Keyon Dooling	10	13	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	-1	11	11.2	16.4	-5.24	14.5	13.4	1.09
Harold Jamison	2	2	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	6	-3	9.0	16.0	-7.04	17.5	13.4	4.07
Elton Brand	46	49	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	13	-17	14.6	17.1	-2.45	13.0	14.0	-0.98
Obinna Ekezie	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	9	-9	0.0	15.9	-15.90	22.0	13.4	8.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, MIA 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
LAL 84, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
GSW 92, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%