inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 121 Excitement11.9 [23] MVPTyler Johnson (MIA): +50.4%
Miami Heat 124 Comeback11.4 [186] LVPJames Johnson (MIA): -33.8%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Love0.290,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.37,0.29,0.290.100.19-0.001857%0.301-0.018100%0.07
Kyle Korver0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.13,0.130.110.01-0.021269%0.171-0.042100%0.05
Channing Frye0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.060.14-0.050.021081%0.122-0.066100%0.04
Iman Shumpert0.020,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00955%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Kay Felder0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00367%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Derrick Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Larry Sanders-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00250%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Deron Williams-0.200,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.06,-0.21,-0.54,-0.54,-0.54,-0.54,-0.54,-0.20.02-0.23-0.012565%0.4310-0.63450%-0.04
JR Smith-0.230,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.09-0.130.01928%-0.192-0.0500%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.50.500.120.390.001275%0.593-0.09887%0.15
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.130.130.040.120.021457%0.172-0.041258%-0.01
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.01-0.00875%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.070.070.070.020.011466%0.252-0.181100%0.00
Willie Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.001100%0.0700.003100%0.02
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.011541%-0.0200.00771%-0.01
Okaro White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Rodney McGruder0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.040.01940%-0.062-0.0620%-0.04
James Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.01,-0.07,-0.3,-0.3,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34-0.34-0.04-0.30-0.001746%-0.073-0.271100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.42.433.114.829.02.530.62.523.9163.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.52.217.9136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +11.8%
CLE -3.6%
MIA +20.5%
MIA +23.3%
CLE -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMIANBACLEMIANBA
this game13.914.614.8108.0111.7107.7
season14.915.4113.5106.7
opponent14.514.7105.9109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CLE11.715.414.214.713.513.9
MIA16.213.413.514.716.414.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kay Felder16130.15-0.650.790.005-81313.414.0-0.5517.114.32.79
Larry Sanders660.04-0.540.57-0.022-5711.014.1-3.0813.714.7-1.00
Iman Shumpert8585-0.02-0.480.45-0.144-71113.714.7-1.0414.116.2-2.01
Kevin Love7575-0.07-0.430.370.14-74-1114.512.71.8414.714.50.17
Kyle Korver6162-0.21-0.290.08-0.303-6913.814.1-0.3415.513.42.12
Derrick Williams2020-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.15-41-514.613.70.9015.214.50.72
JR Smith8684-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.321-4513.714.7-0.9714.614.7-0.07
Richard Jefferson4142-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.18-85-1314.113.80.3714.914.50.39
Deron Williams9698-0.650.15-0.79-0.41-85-1314.013.40.5514.317.1-2.79
Channing Frye7470-0.770.27-1.04-0.68-30-313.914.0-0.1014.115.5-1.43

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Johnson71691.09-0.591.670.6515-122714.614.6-0.0214.213.40.76
Wayne Ellington47490.93-0.431.360.4915-122714.814.50.3414.413.60.81
Josh Richardson98990.56-0.060.610.357-41114.614.8-0.2613.715.2-1.49
Okaro White28280.53-0.030.570.2410-71714.614.6-0.0113.514.0-0.50
Willie Reed1617-0.000.50-0.51-0.0003-315.714.41.2614.613.80.87
Goran Dragic8385-0.040.54-0.580.22-912-2114.614.6-0.0414.113.40.66
James Johnson7475-0.070.57-0.63-0.01-25-715.113.61.4914.213.40.79
Hassan Whiteside7777-0.180.68-0.860.14-1114-2514.614.7-0.1313.415.0-1.58
Rodney McGruder6161-0.310.81-1.13-0.02-1013-2313.715.7-2.0213.514.4-0.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.91,0.81,0.72,0.43,0.27,0.5,0.75,0.89,0.69,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 113, DET 1200.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.57,0.72,0.5,0.55,0.72,0.9,1,188.1%
NJN 89, NYK 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.78,0.74,186.5%
GSW 115, PHX 1220.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.92,0.71,0.61,0.68,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.95,186.0%