inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 110 Excitement5.4 [744] MVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): +30.6%
New York Knicks 97 Comeback2.7 [831] LVPJustin Holiday (NYK): -9.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.310,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.230.090.021578%0.382-0.071587%0.03
Patrick Patterson0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.130.080.08983%0.1400.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.090.024100%0.121-0.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0.120,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.06-0.001074%0.224-0.103100%0.02
PJ Tucker0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01567%0.0500.002100%0.01
Serge Ibaka0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.011055%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Norman Powell0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Delon Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fred VanVleet0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.01-0.04633%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.01837%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
DeMarre Carroll-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00623%-0.0600.001100%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.00-0.021567%0.172-0.05683%0.01
Mindaugas Kuzminskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.040.06-0.011060%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Maurice Ndour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.01460%0.0300.002100%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.011354%0.042-0.0100%0.00
Chasson Randle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00375%0.073-0.066100%0.04
Marshall Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.00747%0.021-0.041100%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ron Baker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.050.021246%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.050.031338%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.829.215.726.22.528.4126.9
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +41.7%
TOR +12.5%
NYK -0.3%
TOR +0.2%
NYK -4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORNYKNBATORNYKNBA
this game14.915.814.8117.0103.2107.7
season15.215.0110.0106.6
opponent14.714.9110.0106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.313.414.715.314.9
NYK15.014.315.918.215.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
PJ Tucker53530.72-0.220.950.1420-72713.616.5-2.9117.114.03.09
Jakob Poeltl26240.63-0.130.770.1616-31914.215.1-0.9419.314.64.73
Kyle Lowry75750.52-0.020.53-0.0118-52314.914.60.3016.014.81.22
Patrick Patterson53540.420.080.340.2467-114.615.2-0.5317.213.83.42
Cory Joseph47470.380.120.260.29310-714.615.1-0.5116.515.01.53
DeMar DeRozan59590.200.30-0.10-0.0485314.515.5-0.9315.316.5-1.19
DeMarre Carroll47460.120.38-0.27-0.1594515.114.60.5514.317.1-2.78
Serge Ibaka55560.020.48-0.45-0.0949-515.014.70.3114.717.3-2.60
Fred VanVleet220.000.50-0.500.00013-1322.514.77.7912.015.8-3.85
Norman Powell77-0.080.58-0.650.04-417-2114.714.9-0.1712.016.1-4.07
Delon Wright77-0.090.59-0.69-0.00-316-1918.914.64.3111.716.1-4.38
Jonas Valanciunas3940-0.340.84-1.180.01-1225-3716.513.72.7613.817.2-3.34

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Ndour49510.11-0.610.72-0.107-202713.418.3-4.9315.913.62.29
Marshall Plumlee55-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-131313.815.9-2.0821.214.56.68
Ron Baker7474-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-4-9515.217.8-2.6515.213.81.36
Willy Hernangomez6060-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-8315.616.0-0.4114.615.3-0.61
Courtney Lee6363-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-11915.416.4-0.9715.313.91.40
Justin Holiday8080-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-11-2-915.517.4-1.8714.815.4-0.57
Chasson Randle2929-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-6-7117.315.12.1814.015.3-1.26
Mindaugas Kuzminskas4240-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.10-12-1-1117.314.62.7014.515.2-0.69
Kyle O'Quinn3434-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.03-163-1917.614.72.9513.715.5-1.87
Sasha Vujacic3434-0.530.03-0.57-0.06-163-1917.215.02.2113.915.4-1.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 116, MIL 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.6%
ORL 85, POR 740.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,094.2%
PHX 96, SAS 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,093.1%