inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 102 Excitement5.1 [806] MVPBryn Forbes (SAS): +15.7%
Dallas Mavericks 89 Comeback6.4 [96] LVPJonathon Simmons (SAS): -16.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryn Forbes0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.010.011966%0.191-0.033100%0.01
Davis Bertans0.140,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.130.090.071373%0.161-0.0200%0.00
Joel Anthony0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.01270%0.071-0.02650%-0.02
Kyle Anderson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.030.02-0.051037%0.0300.00425%-0.03
Dewayne Dedmon0.020,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.011048%0.0200.0010%-0.02
David Lee-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.011644%0.011-0.024100%0.02
Patty Mills-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.020.00714%-0.092-0.0500%0.00
Jonathon Simmons-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.040.011929%-0.1600.00450%-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.000.013117%0.0800.0000%0.00
Nerlens Noel0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.01960%0.0510.0020%-0.03
J.J. Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01657%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.00667%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Salah Mejri0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00657%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.021339%0.0100.002100%0.01
AJ Hammons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.0020%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
Nicolas Brussino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.030.03844%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.050.02922%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Jarrod Uthoff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.09-0.050.02922%-0.131-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.527.814.822.42.426.2119.2
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +17.1%
SAS +7.2%
SAS +21.6%
SAS +3.7%
SAS +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game15.314.714.8106.292.7107.7
season15.416.2110.1104.4
opponent14.714.8107.2103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.813.016.017.615.3
DAL14.514.116.014.414.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Anthony59570.60-0.100.710.1117-42115.914.31.5814.515.0-0.50
David Lee61600.56-0.060.620.0916-31915.714.51.1914.315.4-1.06
Kyle Anderson77770.500.000.500.0316-31915.116.1-1.0414.715.0-0.34
Davis Bertans76780.370.130.240.1676115.614.11.4814.914.20.69
Bryn Forbes57580.320.180.130.0594515.814.51.2313.616.4-2.76
Jonathon Simmons75730.280.220.070.0876115.315.3-0.0815.412.52.96
Patty Mills3838-0.030.53-0.560.06-316-1913.716.3-2.6715.514.21.32
Dewayne Dedmon3739-0.100.60-0.710.01-417-2114.315.9-1.5815.014.50.50

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.J. Barea25250.18-0.680.87-0.027-202713.215.3-2.1212.016.4-4.37
Dirk Nowitzki32320.17-0.670.84-0.016-192515.214.50.6415.315.20.06
Wesley Matthews32320.17-0.670.84-0.016-192515.214.50.6415.315.20.06
Nerlens Noel27280.17-0.670.83-0.109-223115.314.50.7916.914.62.29
Harrison Barnes35350.14-0.640.780.053-161915.214.50.7014.715.6-0.97
Devin Harris19190.13-0.630.76-0.025-182312.915.2-2.2211.516.2-4.67
Salah Mejri19190.13-0.630.76-0.025-182312.915.2-2.2211.516.2-4.67
Yogi Ferrell5557-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.14-4-9514.914.50.3816.613.33.31
Dwight Powell5352-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.16-11-2-914.515.0-0.4115.215.3-0.13
Dorian Finney-Smith6060-0.570.07-0.64-0.10-163-1914.115.8-1.6815.415.00.39
Nicolas Brussino4544-0.740.24-0.980.05-2714-4115.414.11.2616.814.02.86
Jarrod Uthoff3737-0.760.26-1.01-0.11-229-3114.814.70.0916.914.22.73
AJ Hammons4140-0.780.28-1.06-0.02-2613-3916.113.72.3514.915.6-0.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 96, UTA 850.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,093.9%
LAL 107, DAL 970.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.41,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,093.7%
GSW 101, HOU 920.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,093.6%