NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	107		Excitement	5.4 [739]		MVP	KJ McDaniels (BKN): +7.0%
Atlanta Hawks	92		Comeback	1.3 [353]		LVP	Jose Calderon (ATL): -10.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
KJ McDaniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	65%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.09	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Archie Goodwin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.02	5	77%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Caris LeVert	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Whitehead	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Randy Foye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	17	55%	0.03	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	34%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	53%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	24	47%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	12	53%	0.03	5	-0.10	12	25%	-0.12
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.01	-0.04	14	28%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.02	0.01	16	42%	-0.01	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	9%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.5	35.5	14.8	25.2	1.7	31.3	134.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +44.9%

BKN +6.7%

ATL -16.8%

BKN +13.2%

BKN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ATL	NBA	BKN	ATL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.1	14.8	101.9	89.3	107.7
season	13.7	14.4		103.2	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.4		104.6	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.1	13.8	12.3	16.5	13.6
ATL	13.2	15.7	15.4	12.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ McDaniels	47	47	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.05	20	-5	25	13.3	13.8	-0.53	15.0	13.4	1.64
Spencer Dinwiddie	45	45	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-5	25	13.1	13.9	-0.84	15.5	13.0	2.49
Trevor Booker	39	38	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.13	20	-5	25	11.7	14.7	-2.98	16.6	12.6	4.00
Quincy Acy	51	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	0	15	11.9	15.1	-3.21	14.9	13.4	1.55
Isaiah Whitehead	59	57	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	3	9	12.7	14.7	-1.93	14.4	13.7	0.70
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	52	53	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	16	-17	15.5	11.7	3.86	12.9	15.4	-2.47
Jeremy Lin	63	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	14	-13	14.4	12.4	2.02	13.3	15.3	-1.99
Randy Foye	30	30	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	14	-13	12.4	14.1	-1.71	13.4	14.4	-1.04
Brook Lopez	68	66	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	19	-23	14.4	12.1	2.33	13.0	16.1	-3.04
Archie Goodwin	13	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	19	-23	18.0	13.0	5.03	13.4	14.2	-0.83
Caris LeVert	58	56	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.11	-5	20	-25	13.8	13.3	0.53	13.4	15.0	-1.64

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	43	44	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.24	10	-25	35	15.3	13.2	2.09	13.9	13.3	0.59
Malcolm Delaney	10	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-13	11	15.5	14.0	1.54	14.5	13.5	1.07
Ersan Ilyasova	68	70	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.33	10	-25	35	13.2	15.8	-2.52	14.3	12.3	2.00
Taurean Prince	83	85	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.37	11	-26	37	13.7	15.8	-2.10	13.9	12.4	1.47
DeAndre' Bembry	11	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	-2	-11	14.5	14.1	0.49	13.5	13.6	-0.10
Kris Humphries	25	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.21	-16	1	-17	15.8	13.6	2.29	11.9	14.2	-2.31
Dennis Schroder	75	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-14	13	13.8	14.8	-0.98	13.9	12.8	1.12
Mike Muscala	15	15	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.24	-20	5	-25	17.2	13.6	3.62	11.9	13.9	-2.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	85	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	1	-17	13.9	15.2	-1.35	13.3	14.9	-1.61
Dwight Howard	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	-2	-11	13.5	15.2	-1.69	13.5	13.8	-0.35
Mike Dunleavy	36	35	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.18	-25	10	-35	14.4	13.9	0.52	13.2	13.8	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 100, BOS 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.4%
HOU 114, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
MIN 100, HOU 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.05,0.12,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%