NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	117		Excitement	3.5 [1105]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (PHI): +10.6%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	2.1 [372]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (CHI): -9.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.01	9	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shawn Long	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.03	10	78%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Dario Saric	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.03	0.06	19	70%	0.12	4	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	60%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	45%	-0.02	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.04	24	52%	0.06	0	0.00	21	76%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.00	0.09	11	77%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.05	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	7	27%	-0.01	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.04	7	56%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	7%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	29.2	14.8	29.1	2.4	33.4	133.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +53.8%

CHI -2.3%

PHI +7.8%

CHI -7.3%

CHI -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	14.8	117.0	107.0	107.7
season	14.5	15.1		101.9	105.9
opponent	14.8	14.4		105.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.9	14.8	14.1	16.8	14.4
CHI	15.2	14.5	14.7	13.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Long	40	38	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.26	31	-21	52	14.4	14.3	0.13	15.0	14.1	0.96
Sergio Rodriguez	44	45	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	0	10	15.3	13.6	1.73	14.5	14.3	0.19
Dario Saric	72	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	1	8	14.5	14.0	0.46	13.8	15.9	-2.10
Nik Stauskas	48	48	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	11	-12	15.0	13.8	1.25	14.2	14.7	-0.47
Justin Anderson	25	26	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	6	-2	15.0	14.2	0.84	13.5	14.8	-1.26
Gerald Henderson	54	54	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	3	4	14.8	13.9	0.93	15.4	13.3	2.17
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	39	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	-3	16	13.4	15.0	-1.57	15.3	13.9	1.47
Robert Covington	62	64	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.21	-2	12	-14	13.7	15.5	-1.78	14.3	14.7	-0.37
T.J. McConnell	56	55	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	10	-10	13.6	15.3	-1.73	14.3	14.5	-0.19
Richaun Holmes	60	62	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.47	-21	31	-52	14.3	14.4	-0.13	14.1	15.0	-0.96

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	37	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.42	14	-24	38	13.4	15.1	-1.71	15.8	13.5	2.24
Robin Lopez	38	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-8	6	15.2	14.0	1.26	13.6	14.8	-1.19
Rajon Rondo	47	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-4	-2	14.7	14.2	0.47	13.2	15.3	-2.13
Nikola Mirotic	58	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	0	-10	14.4	14.5	-0.04	13.6	15.4	-1.76
Denzel Valentine	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-12	14	14.5	14.4	0.12	15.0	13.3	1.70
Bobby Portis	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-10	10	14.5	14.4	0.04	15.4	13.6	1.76
Jimmy Butler	86	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-5	0	14.8	12.4	2.33	14.4	14.1	0.35
Joffrey Lauvergne	32	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.23	-22	12	-34	14.6	14.4	0.24	13.7	14.7	-1.00
Michael Carter-Williams	46	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-6	2	14.3	14.6	-0.27	15.4	13.4	2.03
Paul Zipser	53	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	7	-24	13.8	15.1	-1.24	13.5	15.3	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 151, MIL 135	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
CHH 104, MIL 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
SAC 128, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0	95.3%