NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	109		Excitement	7.6 [346]		MVP	Frank Kaminsky (CHA): +33.0%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	3.6 [531]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): -18.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.05,0.17,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.07	0.26	-0.01	13	64%	0.38	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Marco Belinelli	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.06	-0.00	9	77%	0.24	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Cody Zeller	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	10	71%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	5	82%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Briante Weber	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	21	46%	0.03	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	14	36%	-0.01	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	9	75%	0.25	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Terrence Ross	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.03	15	63%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
C.J. Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	12	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.01	12	54%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	12	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	24.4	15.3	23.5	2.4	32.3	122.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +31.5%

CHA +11.3%

CHA +11.0%

CHA +2.2%

ORL -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	14.1	14.8	116.0	108.5	107.7
season	15.1	14.6		107.9	103.0
opponent	14.9	14.8		109.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.7	16.3	17.2	15.8	16.5
ORL	13.3	13.7	14.1	15.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Kaminsky	65	65	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.29	15	-8	23	17.0	15.4	1.59	13.8	14.8	-0.91
Briante Weber	29	28	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	-4	15	16.2	16.6	-0.39	15.5	13.5	1.95
Nicolas Batum	63	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	10	-13	16.4	16.7	-0.35	13.6	15.3	-1.69
Jeremy Lamb	29	29	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-3	13	16.7	16.4	0.31	15.9	13.3	2.56
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	54	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	7	-7	16.1	17.0	-0.94	13.9	14.5	-0.66
Cody Zeller	59	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.33	-4	11	-15	16.3	16.9	-0.60	13.4	15.4	-1.97
Kemba Walker	65	66	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	11	-15	16.6	16.2	0.39	13.5	15.5	-1.95
Marco Belinelli	42	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	0	7	17.0	16.1	0.97	14.1	14.2	-0.05
Marvin Williams	64	63	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	4	-1	16.2	17.1	-0.91	15.1	12.2	2.93

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Hezonja	42	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-5	3	14.8	13.6	1.23	17.5	15.6	1.86
Elfrid Payton	67	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.34	6	-13	19	13.5	15.6	-2.06	16.9	15.6	1.34
Aaron Gordon	58	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-12	17	13.3	15.4	-2.13	16.5	16.5	0.06
Terrence Ross	63	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-9	11	13.4	15.6	-2.26	16.5	16.5	0.09
Nikola Vucevic	61	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.25	1	-8	9	13.3	15.6	-2.23	16.1	17.3	-1.18
Evan Fournier	60	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-9	11	13.3	15.5	-2.15	16.6	16.4	0.22
Bismack Biyombo	33	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	1	-9	15.6	13.3	2.23	17.3	16.1	1.18
D.J. Augustin	27	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	6	-19	15.6	13.5	2.06	15.6	16.9	-1.34
Jodie Meeks	29	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	8	-23	15.9	13.3	2.61	15.5	17.0	-1.53
C.J. Watson	30	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	6	-19	16.1	13.2	2.95	15.9	16.8	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.07,0.04,0	92.0%
ORL 86, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.09,0.02,0	91.8%
MIN 94, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,0	91.8%