inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 87 Excitement6.8 [492] MVPPJ Tucker (TOR): +15.2%
Detroit Pistons 75 Comeback7.6 [118] LVPAndre Drummond (DET): -17.5%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
PJ Tucker0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.050.10-0.00667%0.1500.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.070.001457%0.163-0.082100%0.04
Patrick Patterson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.020.00560%0.0600.0000%0.00
Norman Powell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.050.001046%0.0600.00475%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00771%0.081-0.0200%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.01-0.00955%0.0500.00475%0.00
Delon Wright-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.080.00-0.040.04954%0.052-0.138100%0.02
Cory Joseph-0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.021041%-0.043-0.042100%0.00
Fred VanVleet-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.0020%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Jakob Poeltl-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.02-0.0020%-0.032-0.0700%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.060.00871%0.151-0.021100%0.01
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.03-0.011453%0.052-0.051080%0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.031335%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00217%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Tobias Harris0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.050.001058%0.073-0.124100%0.02
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.03922%-0.043-0.0900%0.00
Marcus Morris0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.061312%-0.1500.0000%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.050.011033%-0.073-0.1140%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.828.316.422.61.731.6127.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +36.0%
TOR +9.2%
TOR +0.3%
TOR +5.4%
DET -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDETNBATORDETNBA
this game15.815.014.892.680.6107.7
season15.215.0110.0105.0
opponent15.114.9106.4106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.016.517.315.415.8
DET14.813.514.617.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Joseph69690.81-0.311.110.2220-82815.815.70.1215.413.91.50
Serge Ibaka66650.70-0.200.900.2914-21616.214.71.4515.613.62.04
Norman Powell37360.60-0.100.710.281111015.715.8-0.1015.115.00.17
DeMar DeRozan70690.54-0.040.570.1015-31815.915.20.6915.314.30.94
PJ Tucker55550.390.110.290.041201214.717.3-2.5914.715.6-0.92
DeMarre Carroll45450.170.33-0.160.0357-216.515.11.3415.414.70.76
Jonas Valanciunas46460.120.38-0.27-0.0666016.415.21.1815.514.60.97
Delon Wright1312-0.060.56-0.630.02-315-1816.215.70.4511.715.5-3.77
Fred VanVleet1212-0.240.74-0.98-0.10-517-2215.215.9-0.6916.114.91.21
Jakob Poeltl2827-0.260.76-1.02-0.08-618-2415.415.9-0.5313.615.6-2.03
Patrick Patterson2929-0.260.76-1.020.00-921-3014.816.2-1.4113.615.7-2.05

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aron Baynes24240.22-0.720.940.046-182412.715.8-3.0815.515.8-0.30
Jon Leuer59590.22-0.720.940.104-162014.016.8-2.7815.116.9-1.74
Stanley Johnson24240.14-0.640.77-0.077-192614.615.2-0.5516.515.50.99
Ish Smith4141-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-9614.715.3-0.6714.017.1-3.13
Reggie Jackson5253-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.06-9-3-615.314.70.6717.114.03.13
Marcus Morris6868-0.590.09-0.67-0.09-175-2215.214.50.7615.716.0-0.38
Tobias Harris6063-0.630.13-0.77-0.25-131-1415.713.81.8316.514.22.30
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6970-0.640.14-0.77-0.08-197-2615.214.60.5515.516.5-0.99
Andre Drummond6868-0.720.22-0.94-0.25-164-2015.912.63.3815.815.70.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 107, MIA 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.65,0.73,0.47,0.28,0.06,0.04,091.3%
MIN 121, GSW 1200.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.28,0.17,0.28,091.2%
SAS 94, CLE 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.01,090.8%