NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	121		Excitement	6.4 [573]		MVP	Lance Thomas (NYK): +21.2%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	2.9 [229]		LVP	Ron Baker (NYK): -8.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Acy	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	60%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	11	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Isaiah Whitehead	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	6	67%	0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	16	43%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	17	62%	0.13	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Caris LeVert	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Justin Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	9	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	2	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.05	0.00	5	107%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.08	0.04	15	70%	0.21	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	62%	0.08	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	18	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.06	17	51%	-0.01	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	2.4	34.4	15.7	26.5	0.8	32.3	141.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +39.8%

NYK -0.9%

BKN +33.8%

NYK -24.9%

BKN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	NYK	NBA	BKN	NYK	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	14.8	119.8	111.1	107.7
season	13.7	15.0		103.2	106.6
opponent	14.7	14.4		110.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.7	13.9	12.1	15.7	14.1
NYK	15.3	14.9	15.6	13.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	55	55	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.01	15	-4	19	12.7	15.7	-3.01	14.9	14.6	0.29
Jeremy Lin	67	66	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	-3	17	12.6	17.0	-4.36	14.5	15.3	-0.82
Randy Foye	62	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.15	9	2	7	13.8	14.5	-0.62	14.3	15.4	-1.13
Brook Lopez	68	66	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-3	17	12.6	17.0	-4.38	14.2	15.7	-1.50
Caris LeVert	60	58	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	2	7	12.5	16.3	-3.77	13.7	16.2	-2.59
KJ McDaniels	33	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	5	1	15.6	13.3	2.27	16.1	14.0	2.06
Isaiah Whitehead	39	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	10	-9	15.9	13.0	2.92	16.4	13.7	2.71
Justin Hamilton	33	33	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	14	-17	17.0	12.6	4.38	15.7	14.2	1.50
Quincy Acy	46	44	0.06	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	15	-19	15.7	12.7	3.01	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Spencer Dinwiddie	42	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	17	-23	16.1	12.6	3.45	14.7	14.8	-0.12

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	52	51	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.20	10	-21	31	14.4	15.0	-0.60	15.4	12.7	2.69
Chasson Randle	11	10	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-16	21	15.9	14.6	1.33	17.1	13.7	3.35
Justin Holiday	48	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-8	5	14.6	14.8	-0.16	15.9	12.3	3.53
Ron Baker	48	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-5	-1	14.9	14.5	0.37	15.3	12.8	2.45
Lance Thomas	69	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-7	3	15.0	14.2	0.80	14.4	13.2	1.18
Derrick Rose	72	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	2	-15	14.5	15.3	-0.73	12.9	17.0	-4.09
Carmelo Anthony	80	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	14.5	15.7	-1.25	13.0	18.2	-5.19
Willy Hernangomez	40	42	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	7	-25	15.5	14.2	1.25	12.7	15.1	-2.34
Courtney Lee	75	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	5	-21	14.5	15.4	-0.91	13.5	16.0	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, IND 76	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
BKN 99, CHA 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.05,0.11,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%
NJN 93, SEA 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%