NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	112		Excitement	7.5 [367]		MVP	Goran Dragic (MIA): +35.9%
Miami Heat	120		Comeback	2.2 [780]		LVP	Dion Waiters (MIA): -14.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.11	0.16	-0.01	12	69%	0.28	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.09	0.04	7	79%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	17	52%	0.09	2	-0.05	18	72%	0.01
Tim Frazier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.05	12	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	17	51%	0.04	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.04
Solomon Hill	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	7	25%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.25	0.09	-0.02	18	75%	0.36	1	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.19	0.14	-0.00	10	95%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	0.00	4	100%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	11	83%	0.24	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	9	53%	0.16	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	7	62%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Okaro White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	15	41%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.6	31.2	14.8	29.7	1.8	30.5	133.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +50.1%

MIA +6.4%

NOP -1.4%

NOP -0.5%

NOP -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIA	NBA	NOP	MIA	NBA
this game	13.2	15.0	14.8	109.8	117.6	107.7
season	14.1	15.4		104.1	106.7
opponent	14.5	15.0		105.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.9	13.6	12.2	14.4	13.2
MIA	12.9	15.2	14.5	18.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	18	18	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.02	6	-14	20	13.6	13.1	0.44	13.7	15.3	-1.60
Wayne Selden	32	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-5	2	11.8	13.8	-1.97	13.2	15.9	-2.66
Solomon Hill	58	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-4	0	12.4	14.2	-1.77	14.2	16.1	-1.87
Dante Cunningham	47	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-9	10	13.7	12.8	0.86	15.8	14.4	1.42
Jordan Crawford	42	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-7	6	13.7	12.9	0.80	16.2	14.2	1.97
Tim Frazier	33	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-6	4	14.8	12.4	2.44	15.8	14.7	1.13
Anthony Davis	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	1	-10	12.6	14.9	-2.35	14.7	16.0	-1.26
E'Twaun Moore	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	13.8	11.8	1.97	15.9	13.2	2.66
Jrue Holiday	71	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	1	-10	12.8	14.2	-1.39	14.6	15.9	-1.26
DeMarcus Cousins	64	63	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.22	-14	6	-20	13.5	12.7	0.77	15.2	14.7	0.52

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	51	51	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.30	13	-5	18	14.9	15.2	-0.27	14.3	12.1	2.20
Hassan Whiteside	76	75	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.22	12	-4	16	15.1	15.0	0.10	13.0	13.9	-0.89
Goran Dragic	67	69	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	0	8	14.7	15.7	-0.94	12.7	14.3	-1.68
Tyler Johnson	57	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	3	2	16.4	13.4	3.01	13.5	12.8	0.67
Rodney McGruder	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	-1	10	13.2	16.3	-3.12	12.4	13.7	-1.27
Dion Waiters	64	65	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	5	-2	14.5	15.9	-1.36	12.5	14.4	-1.86
Josh Richardson	33	31	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	7	-6	15.8	14.7	1.06	14.7	12.5	2.22
Wayne Ellington	44	44	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	10	-12	15.7	14.5	1.25	14.3	12.4	1.89
Willie Reed	21	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	9	-10	15.9	14.8	1.09	13.5	13.1	0.45
Luke Babbitt	37	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	12	-16	12.8	16.3	-3.50	12.2	13.7	-1.50
Okaro White	19	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	12	-16	18.7	14.2	4.48	12.6	13.3	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 102, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.99,1	93.2%
MIN 91, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.57,0.66,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.61,0.75,0.88,0.97,1,1	92.5%
PHI 108, LAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.96,1,1	92.4%