NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Excitement	7.4 [350]		MVP	Nick Young (LAL): +26.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	1.6 [371]		LVP	Kevin Martin (MIN): -23.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.01	18	61%	0.17	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Nikola Pekovic	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.05	0.03	-0.08	18	46%	0.13	3	-0.07	12	67%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	9	44%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	7	25%	-0.07	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.06	-0.16	0.02	17	39%	-0.21	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.12	-0.03	14	81%	0.36	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	10	71%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.13,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.06	0.03	15	70%	0.25	7	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	1	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	19	48%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.4	31.9	17.0	27.3	3.6	34.4	143.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +91.1%

MIN -6.8%

MIN -27.6%

MIN -7.2%

LAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	13.7	15.1	91.0	105.1	105.2
season	14.6	14.0		107.3	102.9
opponent	14.8	14.5		108.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	14.1	17.3	14.8	15.3
LAL	11.6	13.6	12.7	17.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Price	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	0.0	15.3	-15.27	4.0	13.8	-9.77
Gorgui Dieng	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	0.0	15.3	-15.27	4.0	13.8	-9.77
Alexey Shved	32	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-12	11	15.4	15.2	0.25	12.5	14.3	-1.82
Kevin Martin	60	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-10	7	15.6	14.7	0.87	13.8	13.5	0.28
Ricky Rubio	65	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-6	-1	14.6	16.6	-2.00	14.2	12.7	1.53
Corey Brewer	56	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-5	-3	16.3	13.9	2.43	12.8	14.9	-2.07
Kevin Love	88	87	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-5	-3	14.8	18.6	-3.77	13.8	12.6	1.23
Luc Mbah a Moute	44	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-8	3	13.9	16.3	-2.43	14.9	12.8	2.07
Dante Cunningham	38	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-10	7	15.9	14.9	1.09	12.7	14.3	-1.61
Nikola Pekovic	74	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	2	-17	15.5	14.7	0.73	14.3	12.1	2.16
Jose Juan Barea	43	42	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	2	-17	15.7	14.9	0.79	13.6	13.7	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	39	38	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.13	18	-5	23	14.4	13.2	1.27	17.1	14.1	3.00
Jodie Meeks	88	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	1	11	13.7	13.5	0.14	15.4	14.2	1.19
Nick Young	63	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	1	11	13.8	13.4	0.35	15.4	15.1	0.32
Xavier Henry	85	88	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	2	9	14.1	11.2	2.86	14.8	18.6	-3.77
Chris Kaman	37	37	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	8	-3	11.9	14.7	-2.83	15.3	15.2	0.09
Pau Gasol	67	69	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	3	7	13.9	13.1	0.80	15.0	15.9	-0.92
Robert Sacre	24	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	14	-15	13.3	13.8	-0.50	13.5	15.9	-2.33
Wesley Johnson	65	63	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	12	-11	12.9	15.2	-2.30	15.6	14.7	0.94
Jordan Hill	27	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	16	-19	15.0	13.2	1.78	14.8	15.4	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.57,0.66,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.61,0.75,0.88,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 108, LAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.96,1,1	93.8%
PHI 78, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.84,0.89,0.98,1	93.4%
CHA 81, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,1	93.0%