NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	115		Excitement	8.2 [230]		MVP	Anthony Tolliver (SAC): +53.2%
Sacramento Kings	120		Comeback	1.8 [647]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (ORL): -11.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.22,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.21	0.04	0.17	0.00	18	57%	0.29	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	14	55%	0.21	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	17	68%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Watson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.04	7	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.05	0.05	-0.11	-0.01	10	62%	-0.00	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.53	0.53	0.17	0.36	0.00	9	95%	0.56	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.12	0.01	16	56%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	9	76%	0.24	3	-0.14	7	100%	0.02
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	10	56%	0.10	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	78%	0.13	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Georgios Papagiannis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.04	13	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	28.6	15.6	24.1	0.3	31.8	125.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +72.3%

ORL -10.4%

ORL -3.7%

ORL -10.3%

SAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SAC	NBA	ORL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	13.6	14.8	110.6	116.5	107.7
season	14.6	15.4		103.0	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.9		110.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.2	12.6	14.7	14.5	14.2
SAC	13.6	14.1	12.5	14.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Hezonja	42	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-5	5	14.3	14.2	0.11	12.0	14.7	-2.62
C.J. Watson	40	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-4	3	14.1	14.3	-0.20	12.5	14.3	-1.79
Nikola Vucevic	69	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-6	7	14.0	14.6	-0.57	14.3	12.3	2.04
Jeff Green	42	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	2	-9	14.1	14.3	-0.17	12.6	14.2	-1.61
Elfrid Payton	72	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-5	5	14.1	14.4	-0.27	14.3	12.2	2.09
D.J. Augustin	32	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	0	-5	14.4	14.1	0.27	12.2	14.3	-2.09
Aaron Gordon	62	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.32	2	-7	9	14.3	14.1	0.17	14.2	12.6	1.61
Bismack Biyombo	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	1	-7	14.6	14.0	0.57	12.3	14.3	-2.04
Evan Fournier	64	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	14.3	14.1	0.20	14.3	12.5	1.79
Terrence Ross	62	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	0	-5	14.2	14.3	-0.11	14.7	12.0	2.62

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	69	69	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.34	15	-10	25	13.6	13.6	-0.02	15.1	12.5	2.53
Willie Cauley-Stein	78	76	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-4	13	13.7	13.2	0.48	14.2	14.2	-0.04
Anthony Tolliver	61	60	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-2	9	13.0	14.5	-1.44	14.3	14.0	0.30
Buddy Hield	64	66	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-6	17	14.2	12.7	1.46	14.8	13.1	1.72
Garrett Temple	74	76	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	5	-5	14.3	11.8	2.57	13.7	15.5	-1.75
Langston Galloway	49	48	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	9	-13	13.2	13.9	-0.72	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Ben McLemore	52	53	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	10	-15	12.5	14.7	-2.19	13.4	15.1	-1.68
Georgios Papagiannis	26	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	9	-13	12.7	13.9	-1.17	14.2	14.2	0.04
Skal Labissiere	42	44	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	9	-13	14.5	13.0	1.44	14.0	14.3	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.68,0.48,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.91,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 103, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.91,1	91.9%
CHA 91, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.91,1	91.5%
TOR 99, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.71,0.95,1	91.5%