NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	108		Excitement	6.0 [631]		MVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): +24.4%
Utah Jazz	114		Comeback	3.2 [386]		LVP	Marreese Speights (LAC): -5.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.22	0.01	0.04	21	69%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	2	120%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.00	8	61%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	11	57%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Blake Griffin	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.05	-0.02	9	86%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	3	100%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
George Hill	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	15	54%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	12	58%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	6	85%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.01	18	63%	0.15	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	30.2	15.3	26.6	2.6	36.2	138.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.5%

LAC -0.1%

UTA +16.8%

LAC -13.1%

LAC -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.7	14.8	124.1	128.1	107.7
season	15.0	16.1		110.8	108.0
opponent	15.0	14.8		105.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	15.6	16.0	17.2	16.0
UTA	18.3	18.7	14.0	16.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	62	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-11	16	16.5	14.8	1.65	16.9	16.3	0.64
JJ Redick	58	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-7	8	16.6	14.7	1.88	16.8	16.5	0.31
Luc Mbah a Moute	35	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	1	-8	17.6	14.9	2.67	16.6	16.8	-0.17
Marreese Speights	21	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-2	-2	14.5	16.5	-1.98	17.4	16.6	0.85
Blake Griffin	65	67	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-4	2	16.2	15.3	0.88	16.6	17.1	-0.52
Wesley Johnson	22	22	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-2	-2	15.3	16.2	-0.88	17.1	16.6	0.52
Jamal Crawford	32	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-1	-4	13.8	17.3	-3.47	16.3	17.0	-0.62
Austin Rivers	47	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-7	8	15.4	16.6	-1.25	17.1	16.4	0.70
DeAndre Jordan	66	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-4	2	16.5	14.5	1.98	16.6	17.4	-0.85
Raymond Felton	27	28	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.15	-13	7	-20	15.1	16.4	-1.31	16.1	17.0	-0.87

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	66	65	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-5	16	16.3	18.0	-1.76	16.4	14.9	1.49
Jeff Withey	17	17	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-4	14	15.2	17.1	-1.86	14.7	16.3	-1.58
Dante Exum	27	27	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	-2	10	16.9	16.7	0.26	15.4	16.2	-0.83
Alec Burks	22	20	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	-1	8	17.0	16.7	0.34	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Joe Johnson	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.28	2	4	-2	17.1	16.2	0.93	16.0	15.9	0.15
George Hill	69	67	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	3	0	16.3	18.2	-1.88	16.2	15.1	1.07
Rodney Hood	37	37	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	7	-8	17.1	16.5	0.58	16.1	15.9	0.18
Rudy Gobert	67	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	4	-2	16.7	16.7	0.02	16.6	14.1	2.42
Boris Diaw	41	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	6	-6	17.2	16.4	0.80	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Joe Ingles	48	47	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.04	-12	18	-30	17.2	16.2	1.06	15.3	16.7	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.24,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
MIN 95, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.4%
MIN 86, MIL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.92,1	93.2%