inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 99 Excitement4.3 [939] MVPWilson Chandler (DEN): +13.3%
Denver Nuggets 119 Comeback1.0 [654] LVPKelly Olynyk (BOS): -5.0%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaylen Brown0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.00-0.02874%0.1110.00367%0.00
Isaiah Thomas0.080,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.030.001462%0.102-0.036100%0.02
Avery Bradley0.020,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.011457%0.083-0.0600%0.00
Jae Crowder0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01657%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Gerald Green0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00360%0.031-0.02475%-0.00
Jordan Mickey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02050%0.0010.00250%0.00
Tyler Zeller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.041441%0.002-0.024100%0.02
Terry Rozier-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00337%-0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Al Horford-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.010.031168%0.075-0.1000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wilson Chandler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.01-0.031661%0.151-0.02667%-0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.02-0.021081%0.217-0.11667%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.00-0.011269%0.122-0.025100%0.02
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.014100%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Juan Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.001125%0.051-0.012100%0.01
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.020.001159%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00-0.03750%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roy Hibbert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.01-0.02945%0.012-0.022100%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.01942%-0.001-0.0210%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.827.214.826.22.435.5131.2
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +38.5%
BOS -1.9%
DEN +10.3%
DEN +1.3%
DEN +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSDENNBABOSDENNBA
this game14.114.414.898.0117.8107.7
season14.714.4110.1111.6
opponent14.514.9111.2108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.313.914.214.014.1
DEN12.314.913.517.314.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gerald Green32320.01-0.510.53-0.104-242812.015.1-3.0915.913.72.24
Jordan Mickey340.00-0.500.500.09-3-171410.014.2-4.2322.014.17.91
Tyler Zeller340.00-0.500.500.09-3-171410.014.2-4.2322.014.17.91
Amir Johnson3129-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-222412.614.8-2.1114.314.4-0.13
Avery Bradley6462-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-3-171413.914.4-0.5114.414.4-0.01
Terry Rozier1416-0.19-0.310.120.16-12-8-415.114.01.1215.314.21.08
Jonas Jerebko2525-0.21-0.290.09-0.03-6-14815.213.71.4514.814.30.47
Isaiah Thomas7271-0.21-0.290.09-0.03-6-14814.213.90.3014.214.8-0.61
Jae Crowder7270-0.23-0.270.04-0.03-7-13613.815.0-1.2013.915.5-1.56
Kelly Olynyk2122-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-11-9-215.613.71.8513.314.7-1.45
Jaylen Brown4445-0.40-0.10-0.300.21-211-2214.613.70.9314.714.20.51
Al Horford7271-0.41-0.09-0.320.09-17-3-1414.313.50.8313.915.5-1.60
Marcus Smart5254-0.48-0.02-0.460.02-17-3-1415.213.02.2313.715.2-1.51

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mason Plumlee39380.350.150.200.051010014.814.20.6315.313.41.89
Will Barton40400.340.160.190.02119215.113.91.1915.013.51.52
Wilson Chandler74760.300.200.10-0.05128413.616.7-3.0913.416.1-2.67
Jamal Murray34340.280.220.05-0.08128415.613.81.7415.113.61.52
Juan Hernangomez25240.250.25-0.01-0.08119215.714.01.6915.413.71.72
Gary Harris76770.250.25-0.01-0.11128414.214.9-0.6813.516.1-2.64
Jameer Nelson67670.220.28-0.05-0.01812-413.815.6-1.7413.615.1-1.52
Danilo Gallinari74730.200.30-0.10-0.03812-414.414.30.1014.014.3-0.29
Darrell Arthur14130.160.34-0.18-0.01614-815.214.30.9416.913.73.23
Nikola Jokic59610.150.35-0.20-0.08812-413.715.5-1.7913.614.8-1.19
Roy Hibbert320.000.50-0.50-0.06218-1624.014.19.896.014.3-8.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 77, SAC 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
UTA 91, DEN 1050.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
CLE 74, CHI 870.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%