inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 77 Excitement3.9 [1011] MVPDoug Christie (SAC): +13.8%
Sacramento Kings 98 Comeback1.0 [1277] LVPChris Webber (SAC): -15.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.120.010.041379%0.132-0.042100%0.01
Chris Whitney0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.02683%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Mark Blount-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00430%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Vincent Yarbrough-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00842%-0.031-0.01367%-0.01
Ryan Bowen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.031339%-0.032-0.02250%-0.01
Junior Harrington-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.110.00-0.0458%-0.041-0.02250%0.00
Kenny Satterfield-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.12-0.01-0.031042%-0.034-0.064100%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.12-0.00-0.03728%-0.052-0.04475%0.00
Rodney White-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.17-0.00-0.0530%-0.045-0.0810%-0.01
Donnell Harvey-0.130,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.15-0.00-0.031125%-0.111-0.02617%-0.04

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Doug Christie0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.150.000.011096%0.183-0.044100%0.01
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.021470%0.122-0.042100%0.01
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00650%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.05769%0.012-0.032100%0.00
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.140.00-0.12930%0.014-0.03250%0.00
Vlade Divac0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00557%0.002-0.044100%0.02
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.02550%0.023-0.0620%-0.02
Chris Webber0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.20-0.00-0.051540%-0.075-0.091275%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.426.316.429.22.529.3129.4
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +38.8%
SAC +10.1%
SAC +2.0%
DEN -2.9%
SAC +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSACNBADENSACNBA
this game15.413.915.579.498.0101.6
season15.714.090.4104.4
opponent15.715.398.699.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN17.414.014.316.215.4
SAC14.712.612.915.813.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodney White3232-0.06-0.440.38-0.215-263113.016.5-3.4913.414.1-0.76
Kenny Satterfield5051-0.11-0.390.290.04-5-161113.717.1-3.4113.214.6-1.34
Junior Harrington2525-0.14-0.360.220.06-7-14716.115.10.9514.413.70.68
Nikoloz Tskitishvili3234-0.15-0.350.200.11-9-12315.015.6-0.5512.914.4-1.44
Donnell Harvey5858-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-14715.315.5-0.1914.413.21.25
Ryan Bowen5455-0.22-0.280.050.01-8-13514.916.0-1.1313.714.1-0.36
Chris Whitney3336-0.25-0.25-0.010.04-10-11117.114.52.6115.113.21.91
Mark Blount3940-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.03-9-12315.415.30.1114.013.80.18
Juwan Howard6770-0.31-0.19-0.110.13-15-6-915.515.20.3014.013.60.37
Vincent Yarbrough3840-0.32-0.18-0.140.06-13-8-516.614.61.9913.714.0-0.23
James Posey5759-0.42-0.08-0.350.37-276-3316.613.63.0613.814.0-0.10

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Doug Christie79760.480.020.47-0.3127-63314.013.50.4616.212.43.76
Chris Webber76740.450.050.39-0.3226-53114.113.30.7316.013.32.71
Bobby Jackson73710.390.110.280.101011-114.113.20.9114.717.2-2.54
Jim Jackson60580.310.190.12-0.161651113.314.8-1.4715.714.80.92
Keon Clark59580.280.220.05-0.13147713.015.2-2.2115.914.51.39
Vlade Divac57540.280.220.050.10615-914.113.60.5414.316.7-2.34
Gerald Wallace61600.210.29-0.080.24-122-2314.313.21.1614.017.6-3.64
Damon Jones35340.110.39-0.28-0.10714-714.113.80.3916.115.01.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 74, DET 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
LAC 88, UTA 1060.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
LAC 80, NOH 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%