NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	110		Excitement	9.3 [123]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +86.5%
San Antonio Spurs	112		Comeback	7.4 [238]		LVP	Pau Gasol (SAS): -13.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.29,0.29	0.03	0.26	-0.00	10	55%	0.31	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	11	57%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Harden	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.09	0.20	-0.08	0.04	20	81%	0.28	7	-0.20	8	87%	-0.05
Clint Capela	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	11	55%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	0.05	-0.06	0.00	6	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Sam Dekker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	10	22%	-0.05	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.86	0.86	0.33	0.57	0.03	18	83%	0.89	1	-0.02	11	100%	0.14
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	10	54%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.06
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	7	36%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.08	0.00	14	63%	0.08	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	12	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	26.7	15.7	28.2	2.5	33.4	130.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +3.3%

SAS +16.3%

SAS +22.1%

SAS +3.7%

SAS +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	14.0	15.2	14.8	112.2	113.1	107.7
season	13.7	15.4		113.2	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.9		103.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.0	14.6	13.7	13.7	14.0
SAS	16.5	13.1	17.0	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	39	40	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.16	3	-5	8	12.9	14.7	-1.78	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Sam Dekker	30	30	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.07	4	-6	10	12.9	14.5	-1.61	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Ryan Anderson	50	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	1	-4	15.1	12.9	2.16	15.4	15.0	0.34
Clint Capela	49	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	4	-10	14.8	13.2	1.55	15.4	15.1	0.29
Patrick Beverley	68	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-5	8	14.5	13.0	1.47	15.4	14.8	0.64
Nene	41	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-4	6	12.4	15.2	-2.72	15.4	15.1	0.40
Eric Gordon	72	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	3	-8	13.5	15.5	-2.01	14.6	17.1	-2.55
Trevor Ariza	70	71	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.54	-5	3	-8	14.5	12.8	1.68	15.3	15.0	0.30
James Harden	71	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.64	-3	1	-4	14.4	13.1	1.20	15.4	14.6	0.80

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	48	50	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.34	20	-18	38	14.7	15.7	-1.02	13.8	14.3	-0.49
Danny Green	67	68	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.54	11	-9	20	15.0	15.6	-0.61	14.3	13.4	0.89
Tony Parker	57	57	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.53	11	-9	20	15.7	14.5	1.20	13.9	14.2	-0.30
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	75	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.51	6	-4	10	15.6	14.1	1.44	14.4	12.8	1.62
Kawhi Leonard	79	79	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.52	4	-2	6	15.4	14.3	1.14	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Jonathon Simmons	31	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.14	5	-3	8	13.0	16.2	-3.17	13.6	14.2	-0.56
Dewayne Dedmon	17	17	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	14	-26	16.9	14.9	2.09	15.6	13.7	1.90
Manu Ginobili	44	41	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.02	-9	11	-20	14.6	15.7	-1.12	14.2	13.9	0.26
Patty Mills	39	39	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.06	-13	15	-28	14.9	15.4	-0.43	14.1	14.0	0.09
Pau Gasol	38	34	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.12	-13	15	-28	16.3	14.5	1.75	12.7	14.7	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.66,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.25,0.36,0.77,0.47,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 82, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.58,1	90.6%
SAC 85, SEA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.23,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.46,0.68,0.73,1	90.2%
SEA 87, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.28,0.57,0.58,1	90.1%