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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 104 Excitement10.0 [66] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): +39.6%
Detroit Pistons 98 Comeback3.3 [400] LVPAndre Drummond (DET): -14.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaylen Brown0.200,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.18,0.2-0.010.230.02962%0.294-0.09333%-0.14
Marcus Smart0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.180.020.16-0.001056%0.252-0.07580%0.02
Terry Rozier0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.120.05-0.005108%0.191-0.022100%0.01
Jae Crowder0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.040.040.000.01856%0.0400.00978%0.03
Isaiah Thomas0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.02,0.040.14-0.080.012360%0.092-0.05989%0.06
Tyler Zeller0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00367%0.022-0.0400%0.00
James Young-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.03629%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Al Horford-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.011118%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.05-0.00831%-0.053-0.0900%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.44,0.44,0.40.400.060.34-0.001455%0.421-0.03560%0.05
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.060.002117%0.1400.002100%0.01
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00175%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Marcus Morris0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.01-0.031546%0.085-0.12580%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06-0.060.04-0.090.011265%0.023-0.082100%0.01
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00520%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.010.011142%0.003-0.0920%-0.06
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.04-0.00836%-0.082-0.04650%-0.06
Andre Drummond0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15-0.15-0.04-0.090.021346%-0.053-0.10119%-0.22
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.22.328.834.830.21.841.3159.4
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET -7.2%
BOS +24.4%
BOS +27.6%
BOS +2.6%
BOS +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSDETNBABOSDETNBA
this game15.513.014.8102.098.0107.7
season14.715.0110.1105.0
opponent15.114.9106.4108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.716.113.716.715.5
DET12.012.113.514.613.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaylen Brown53570.75-0.251.000.3414-82214.216.8-2.5714.411.23.16
Amir Johnson42420.65-0.150.810.1816-102614.116.4-2.3514.611.92.73
Isaiah Thomas75730.490.010.480.239-31215.216.2-1.0113.312.11.18
Al Horford77760.460.040.410.3442215.216.3-1.1113.112.80.29
Jae Crowder73700.440.060.390.3633015.216.2-0.9712.713.8-1.08
Terry Rozier37350.230.27-0.040.0851415.715.30.3913.212.90.25
Tyler Zeller88-0.040.54-0.57-0.01-17-816.015.40.5615.412.82.57
Jonas Jerebko2624-0.050.55-0.60-0.0815-417.114.92.1412.013.3-1.27
Marcus Smart6563-0.060.56-0.620.14-713-2016.214.21.9412.214.4-2.13
James Young1211-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-39-1218.015.12.8610.013.4-3.38
Kelly Olynyk4241-0.280.78-1.070.04-1117-2816.814.62.1811.314.2-2.83

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stanley Johnson22230.40-0.901.290.0512-183013.512.90.5717.914.83.14
Ish Smith27280.26-0.761.010.086-121812.513.2-0.6718.114.53.62
Aron Baynes2224-0.05-0.450.40-0.267-132011.813.4-1.5917.614.82.75
Jon Leuer5353-0.07-0.430.350.01-3-3013.412.60.7815.715.20.45
Tobias Harris6568-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.331-7812.913.3-0.4216.413.62.84
Andre Drummond7878-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.07-137-2013.411.81.5914.817.6-2.75
Marcus Morris8283-0.620.12-0.74-0.33-104-1412.913.6-0.6714.619.5-4.91
Reggie Jackson7374-0.760.26-1.01-0.40-126-1813.212.50.6714.518.1-3.62
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope7879-0.900.40-1.29-0.37-1812-3012.913.5-0.5714.817.9-3.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.42,0.26,0.21,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.67,0.73,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 118, BOS 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,090.8%
CLE 79, MIL 780.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.67,0.84,090.4%
GSW 106, UTA 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.53,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.67,0.42,090.3%