NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	4.0 [1010]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +11.7%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	1.3 [567]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -17.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	22	58%	0.16	3	-0.04	8	50%	-0.04
Rodney Hood	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	7	58%	0.08	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	62%	0.07	4	-0.06	14	79%	0.02
Alec Burks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	56%	0.02	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.06	13	70%	0.07	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Dante Exum	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	10	68%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	-0.00	0.11	16	65%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sheldon McClellan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ochefu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	78%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	30%	-0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.05	0.04	18	56%	-0.00	9	-0.17	5	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	31.1	15.4	30.3	2.5	35.5	138.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +35.7%

UTA +7.5%

UTA +14.2%

WAS -10.1%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	13.6	14.8	105.2	93.9	107.7
season	16.1	14.4		108.0	109.9
opponent	14.9	15.0		108.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	13.2	18.2	17.0	16.0
WAS	13.6	15.6	13.7	11.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	74	76	0.66	-0.16	0.81	-0.05	24	-14	38	15.9	16.4	-0.51	13.9	12.5	1.41
Gordon Hayward	83	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-4	18	16.0	16.3	-0.33	13.0	16.6	-3.52
Rudy Gobert	76	77	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	-3	16	15.9	16.5	-0.67	12.8	16.4	-3.60
Derrick Favors	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	3	4	17.5	14.8	2.76	16.0	11.6	4.45
Rodney Hood	54	57	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	-1	12	16.0	16.0	-0.04	13.5	13.7	-0.23
Joe Johnson	50	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	10	-10	15.3	16.8	-1.49	11.8	15.5	-3.68
Joe Ingles	39	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	12	-14	15.7	16.2	-0.47	13.3	13.7	-0.36
Alec Burks	18	18	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	13	-16	16.9	15.8	1.09	16.7	12.8	3.82
Boris Diaw	25	25	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	12	-14	15.2	16.3	-1.02	15.2	13.0	2.27
Dante Exum	23	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.20	-12	22	-34	16.4	15.9	0.51	12.5	13.9	-1.41

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sheldon McClellan	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	11.5	13.6	-2.09	19.0	16.0	3.03
Daniel Ochefu	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	11.5	13.6	-2.09	19.0	16.0	3.03
Tomas Satoransky	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-13	16	12.6	13.7	-1.08	16.8	15.9	0.89
Bradley Beal	67	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.26	6	-16	22	13.0	14.7	-1.65	17.2	13.1	4.13
Ian Mahinmi	30	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-7	4	14.9	13.0	1.94	15.8	16.1	-0.25
Trey Burke	10	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-4	-2	18.2	13.0	5.18	15.6	16.0	-0.49
Kelly Oubre Jr.	18	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-1	-8	15.3	13.1	2.18	14.7	16.3	-1.57
John Wall	77	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-3	-4	13.1	15.4	-2.33	16.0	16.1	-0.18
Otto Porter Jr.	83	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-9	8	12.9	17.4	-4.54	16.0	15.7	0.33
Marcin Gortat	61	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-4	-2	12.9	14.7	-1.85	15.6	16.7	-1.19
Bojan Bogdanovic	68	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-6	2	13.4	13.8	-0.41	15.8	16.5	-0.77
Markieff Morris	59	60	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.18	-23	13	-36	15.0	11.4	3.56	15.5	16.7	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 112, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DET 89, DEN 63	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
DET 91, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0	95.7%