NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	97		Excitement	8.7 [184]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +67.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	96		Comeback	1.4 [578]		LVP	Darren Collison (SAC): -20.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.67	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.21,0.45,0.67	0.06	0.58	-0.03	24	60%	0.81	6	-0.14	19	63%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.20	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	12	50%	-0.06	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.39,0.41	0.41	0.19	0.22	0.00	18	71%	0.48	1	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	6	57%	0.13	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	5	40%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.02	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	10	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	9	44%	-0.02	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.6	28.1	15.5	22.3	1.7	33.2	127.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -7.6%

SAC +42.2%

SAC +17.6%

SAC +8.9%

LAL -11.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.8	14.5	14.8	103.2	100.0	107.7
season	15.4	14.5		106.0	104.8
opponent	14.4	14.6		111.6	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	14.9	15.3	19.0	15.8
LAL	15.3	14.5	16.0	12.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	68	71	1.04	-0.54	1.57	0.48	19	-18	37	15.1	17.5	-2.37	15.6	11.4	4.25
Ben McLemore	67	68	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.08	16	-15	31	14.2	19.7	-5.49	15.5	12.1	3.39
Darren Collison	79	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	2	-3	16.0	14.9	1.10	14.2	16.5	-2.28
Matt Barnes	53	54	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	1	-1	16.4	15.0	1.48	13.7	15.7	-2.00
Arron Afflalo	70	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.42	-3	4	-7	16.4	14.0	2.46	15.2	12.7	2.50
Kosta Koufos	50	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	-6	13	14.6	17.1	-2.49	16.0	12.8	3.14
Anthony Tolliver	37	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.40	-17	18	-35	18.4	14.1	4.32	12.3	15.9	-3.58
Malachi Richardson	13	13	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	10	-19	16.8	15.6	1.23	11.8	15.0	-3.21
Willie Cauley-Stein	33	33	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.05	-7	8	-15	16.0	15.7	0.28	12.3	15.7	-3.37

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	59	55	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-7	13	14.7	14.2	0.53	17.0	14.1	2.88
Luol Deng	41	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-3	5	13.6	15.2	-1.58	16.4	15.3	1.16
Lou Williams	48	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.42	10	-11	21	13.2	15.9	-2.71	17.0	14.5	2.56
Tarik Black	42	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-2	3	14.3	14.8	-0.50	16.5	15.2	1.33
Ivica Zubac	21	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	6	-13	14.3	14.6	-0.33	14.0	16.3	-2.27
Larry Nance Jr.	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.41	5	-6	11	13.9	15.1	-1.21	15.9	15.6	0.30
Julius Randle	44	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	8	-17	15.6	13.7	1.94	14.7	16.6	-1.96
Jordan Clarkson	54	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-6	11	13.6	15.7	-2.08	16.3	15.0	1.30
Timofey Mozgov	22	21	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	3	-7	16.2	14.0	2.19	13.2	16.5	-3.34
Brandon Ingram	55	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	2	-5	15.2	13.6	1.58	15.3	16.4	-1.16
D'Angelo Russell	48	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	10	-21	15.9	13.2	2.71	14.6	16.9	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.46,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.23,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 121, BOS 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.28,0.47,0.34,0.1,0.19,0.07,0,0,0	91.9%
TOR 97, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.02,0	91.6%
IND 101, VAN 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.13,0.02,0.01,0	91.5%