NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	110		Excitement	8.1 [247]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +27.3%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	3.2 [492]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -13.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.24	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.24	0.14	0.12	0.02	23	63%	0.31	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
David Lee	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.18	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Tony Parker	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	60%	0.14	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.16,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,0.04	-0.06	0.09	-0.01	22	39%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.08
Danny Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	9	60%	0.12	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.11	0.00	15	71%	0.32	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	8	68%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.02	13	58%	0.07	0	0.00	12	75%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	8	79%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.11
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	36%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	10	45%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	29.2	15.5	28.8	1.8	37.6	137.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +21.5%

SAS +13.8%

SAS +20.9%

IND -6.6%

SAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	IND	NBA	SAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	14.8	112.2	110.4	107.7
season	15.4	14.9		110.1	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.8		108.0	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.3	15.6	14.9	15.1	15.2
IND	15.3	13.2	16.4	13.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	77	74	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.32	17	-13	30	15.6	13.8	1.80	14.7	13.7	1.01
Dewayne Dedmon	57	57	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	0	4	15.6	14.7	0.93	14.3	14.7	-0.48
Danny Green	72	70	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	-4	12	15.7	14.0	1.67	14.0	15.8	-1.85
Tony Parker	55	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	-2	8	16.6	13.5	3.09	14.7	14.1	0.66
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	1	2	16.0	13.3	2.66	14.2	15.0	-0.75
David Lee	47	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	-1	6	14.3	16.1	-1.78	14.4	14.5	-0.13
Jonathon Simmons	29	29	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.23	-5	9	-14	12.4	16.4	-3.99	14.3	14.5	-0.16
Patty Mills	40	38	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	3	-2	14.5	15.7	-1.27	14.3	14.6	-0.28
Davis Bertans	1	0	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	4	-4	16.0	15.2	0.78	0.0	14.5	-14.46
Kyle Anderson	19	20	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	10	-16	13.7	15.6	-1.85	15.9	14.1	1.82
Manu Ginobili	23	21	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.02	-13	17	-30	14.0	15.6	-1.66	15.0	14.3	0.75

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	43	43	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.11	11	-15	26	14.6	14.3	0.27	14.8	15.5	-0.73
Glenn Robinson III	44	45	0.39	-0.89	1.29	0.07	11	-15	26	14.3	14.6	-0.30	16.2	14.4	1.84
Al Jefferson	31	31	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.03	10	-14	24	13.9	14.7	-0.77	14.5	15.6	-1.08
CJ Miles	48	49	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-6	8	13.8	15.1	-1.37	13.6	16.8	-3.18
Kevin Seraphin	50	51	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	2	-8	14.9	13.9	1.01	17.0	13.3	3.62
Monta Ellis	64	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	1	-6	13.8	15.7	-1.84	14.5	16.7	-2.17
Myles Turner	69	71	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.42	-13	9	-22	14.9	13.4	1.41	15.5	14.4	1.13
Paul George	73	74	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.48	-12	8	-20	14.8	13.3	1.46	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Jeff Teague	58	60	-0.98	0.48	-1.46	-0.45	-18	14	-32	14.7	14.1	0.54	15.4	14.9	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.36,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 109, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.57,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.05,0	91.2%
UTA 109, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.33,0.53,0.29,0.06,0.01,0	90.9%
IND 95, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.45,0.42,0	90.8%