NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	9.2 [134]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +43.9%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	13.5 [74]		LVP	Anthony Tolliver (SAC): -13.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.44	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.07,0.44	0.11	0.32	-0.00	24	57%	0.48	1	-0.04	10	70%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.33	-0.01	0.34	-0.00	8	44%	0.35	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
TJ Warren	0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	0.00	13	66%	0.23	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	12	56%	0.18	2	-0.09	12	75%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.15	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Alex Len	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.17	-0.02	16	59%	0.29	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.12	-0.00	10	75%	0.27	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	64%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	16	54%	0.15	5	-0.22	9	78%	0.03
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	9	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	9	32%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	32.6	14.8	26.9	0.7	37.0	137.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +39.1%

PHX +21.3%

SAC -13.5%

PHX +7.7%

SAC -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	13.8	15.0	14.8	106.1	102.0	107.7
season	13.9	15.4		105.4	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.5		110.0	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	13.2	12.9	15.5	13.8
SAC	15.6	14.0	14.3	16.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	72	72	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.59	7	-5	12	13.2	15.3	-2.17	14.8	15.6	-0.78
Devin Booker	86	86	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.51	7	-5	12	13.5	15.4	-1.87	15.2	14.2	0.97
Tyson Chandler	68	68	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.60	3	-1	4	13.3	14.7	-1.34	14.7	15.7	-1.04
TJ Warren	76	78	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.56	0	2	-2	13.3	15.2	-1.84	14.6	16.4	-1.76
PJ Tucker	63	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	1	0	14.5	12.4	2.11	15.2	14.6	0.61
Marquese Chriss	36	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	1	0	12.4	14.5	-2.11	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Alex Len	31	33	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.16	-1	3	-4	14.7	13.3	1.34	15.7	14.7	1.04
Leandro Barbosa	28	29	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.17	-3	5	-8	15.2	13.2	2.03	15.6	14.8	0.78
Brandon Knight	35	38	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.17	-5	7	-12	15.3	12.9	2.45	15.5	14.7	0.80

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	31	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.18	-6	4	-10	15.0	15.0	-0.04	13.9	13.7	0.25
Kosta Koufos	34	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-4	6	14.9	15.1	-0.22	12.7	14.4	-1.70
Malachi Richardson	21	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	4	-10	16.0	14.8	1.29	12.3	14.1	-1.85
Ben McLemore	74	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	2	-6	14.9	15.3	-0.31	13.9	13.4	0.48
Anthony Tolliver	55	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-2	2	14.9	15.2	-0.22	14.4	13.0	1.40
Ty Lawson	59	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	0	-2	14.8	15.3	-0.52	14.4	12.9	1.46
DeMarcus Cousins	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.59	6	-8	14	15.2	14.7	0.52	13.9	13.4	0.44
Matt Barnes	83	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-1	0	14.8	16.1	-1.25	13.2	16.3	-3.06
Darren Collison	77	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.56	1	-3	4	15.2	14.3	0.91	14.0	13.0	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.71,0.84,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 102, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.27,0	89.1%
CLE 111, NJN 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.88,0.88,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.74,0	88.7%
ORL 105, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.72,0	88.6%