NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	128		Excitement	3.7 [1064]		MVP	Robin Lopez (CHI): +13.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	100		Comeback	1.3 [542]		LVP	Domantas Sabonis (OKC): -11.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	8	87%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.02	0.06	17	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	3	79%	0.06	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Jerian Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	86%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	73%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.02	0.08	12	64%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	80%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	7	69%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.00	0.08	8	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	23	52%	0.05	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	11	32%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	14	41%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	10	10%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	28.2	15.8	32.1	2.7	29.3	134.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +53.4%

CHI +0.5%

OKC -4.2%

CHI +0.9%

OKC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	OKC	NBA	CHI	OKC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	14.8	128.0	100.0	107.7
season	15.1	14.0		105.9	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.8		106.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	12.5	14.5	14.3	14.1
OKC	14.4	15.2	13.8	15.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	49	49	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.34	32	-4	36	13.6	14.5	-0.90	16.2	13.3	2.89
Jerian Grant	54	53	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.13	24	4	20	14.2	13.9	0.29	14.9	14.5	0.37
Taj Gibson	44	44	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.08	22	6	16	14.1	14.0	0.12	15.5	14.1	1.42
Robin Lopez	41	41	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.13	22	6	16	14.2	14.0	0.25	16.2	13.7	2.48
Jimmy Butler	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	7	14	14.4	13.5	0.87	14.8	14.6	0.15
Doug McDermott	30	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	24	-20	13.6	14.3	-0.67	14.0	15.1	-1.10
Bobby Portis	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	13.5	14.2	-0.66	16.4	14.5	1.90
Isaiah Canaan	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	13.5	14.2	-0.66	16.4	14.5	1.90
Michael Carter-Williams	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	13.2	14.2	-1.05	16.4	14.5	1.90
Rajon Rondo	36	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.20	6	22	-16	13.9	14.2	-0.24	13.2	15.6	-2.45
Cristiano Felicio	51	51	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.17	4	24	-20	14.2	14.0	0.22	14.0	15.4	-1.41
Nikola Mirotic	42	43	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.19	4	24	-20	14.2	14.0	0.21	13.4	15.7	-2.30
Paul Zipser	51	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	32	-36	14.5	13.6	0.90	13.3	16.2	-2.89

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joffrey Lauvergne	33	31	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-34	40	11.8	16.2	-4.35	15.1	13.6	1.53
Cameron Payne	41	42	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.23	-5	-23	18	14.1	15.2	-1.03	13.4	14.6	-1.15
Jerami Grant	42	42	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-26	24	14.4	15.0	-0.56	14.0	14.2	-0.20
Josh Huestis	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-26	24	16.4	14.5	1.90	13.5	14.2	-0.66
Nick Collison	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-26	24	13.3	14.8	-1.55	13.7	14.1	-0.35
Semaj Christon	27	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.11	-6	-22	16	13.7	15.1	-1.46	14.3	14.0	0.26
Kyle Singler	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-23	18	13.7	14.8	-1.09	13.7	14.1	-0.38
Anthony Morrow	50	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.19	-11	-17	6	14.2	15.2	-0.98	14.0	14.1	-0.10
Victor Oladipo	51	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.16	-14	-14	0	15.4	14.1	1.27	14.1	14.1	-0.03
Domantas Sabonis	45	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.17	-22	-6	-16	16.4	13.3	3.12	14.0	14.1	-0.08
Andre Roberson	62	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.16	-24	-4	-20	15.0	14.2	0.84	13.9	14.3	-0.35
Russell Westbrook	62	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.09	-23	-5	-18	15.2	13.9	1.26	14.6	13.3	1.24
Steven Adams	60	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.24	-30	2	-32	15.1	14.1	1.05	13.9	14.3	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 107, LAC 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
SAS 105, SAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
POR 139, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%