inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 93 Excitement3.1 [1168] MVPGoran Dragic (MIA): +13.5%
Miami Heat 116 Comeback1.3 [746] LVPDennis Schroder (ATL): -5.4%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Muscala0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00580%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Kent Bazemore0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.011161%0.062-0.041100%0.00
Kris Humphries0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.04480%0.0200.00250%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01945%0.0200.004100%0.01
Taurean Prince-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01343%-0.001-0.001100%0.00
Lamar Patterson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.04536%0.002-0.0110%-0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.03761%0.011-0.024100%0.00
Mike Scott-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.0430%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.01643%-0.0200.002100%0.01
DeAndre' Bembry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02631%0.001-0.0210%-0.00
Malcolm Delaney-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00440%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Paul Millsap-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.021236%-0.031-0.011100%0.00
Dennis Schroder-0.050,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.011150%0.014-0.062100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.190.000.061377%0.162-0.02978%-0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.01-0.011359%0.101-0.0210%-0.01
Dion Waiters0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.011567%0.093-0.0300%0.00
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00580%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Willie Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02558%0.031-0.00250%-0.00
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.021146%0.021-0.002100%0.01
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.010.041362%0.032-0.02367%0.00
Okaro White00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.051129%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Rodney McGruder0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.06714%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.726.414.825.12.432.7126.3
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +39.3%
ATL -6.4%
MIA +9.2%
MIA +6.6%
MIA +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game13.615.614.894.9117.2107.7
season14.415.4104.2106.7
opponent14.514.9105.9104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.315.012.212.113.6
MIA14.116.315.017.415.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taurean Prince1313-0.01-0.490.49-0.155-283312.313.8-1.4816.815.51.30
Lamar Patterson2524-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-232312.114.1-2.0317.415.12.35
Mike Scott2727-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-232312.913.9-1.0216.915.21.67
Kris Humphries3132-0.12-0.380.250.05-6-171114.213.30.8816.115.40.68
DeAndre' Bembry4243-0.17-0.330.160.04-7-16913.713.50.2616.614.91.67
Mike Dunleavy3838-0.17-0.330.160.03-7-16913.813.50.3217.314.62.68
Kent Bazemore5049-0.22-0.280.060.10-11-12113.713.50.1414.716.5-1.83
Dwight Howard5353-0.25-0.250.010.08-11-12113.813.40.4015.016.4-1.45
Malcolm Delaney2023-0.27-0.23-0.050.11-13-10-315.413.12.2715.215.8-0.60
Mike Muscala2929-0.30-0.20-0.110.22-18-5-1313.313.7-0.3516.915.11.78
Paul Millsap5052-0.31-0.19-0.110.13-15-8-713.813.30.5114.217.2-2.92
Tim Hardaway Jr.5656-0.33-0.17-0.160.14-16-7-913.513.7-0.2614.916.6-1.67
Dennis Schroder5656-0.33-0.17-0.160.14-16-7-913.513.7-0.2614.916.6-1.67

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dion Waiters63640.490.010.49-0.4733-104315.216.3-1.1013.414.0-0.58
James Johnson47440.360.140.230.10914-515.915.40.4914.512.91.57
Hassan Whiteside65640.330.170.16-0.4025-22715.016.9-1.9413.214.3-1.12
Tyler Johnson68650.330.170.15-0.14167916.014.81.2613.414.0-0.57
Rodney McGruder61630.280.220.05-0.312031715.116.5-1.3613.014.6-1.52
Goran Dragic61590.250.25-0.000.16320-1715.216.4-1.2314.112.81.28
Willie Reed34340.170.33-0.160.23-225-2716.915.01.9414.313.21.12
Wayne Ellington51500.160.34-0.19-0.02617-1116.814.42.4114.013.20.83
Luke Babbitt41420.140.36-0.23-0.10815-714.716.3-1.6713.213.9-0.70
Okaro White450.000.50-0.500.09-326-2922.515.37.1511.213.7-2.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 86, CHA 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
WAS 83, IND 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
NOK 78, PHX 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%