NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	127		Excitement	6.6 [534]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAL): +20.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	121		Comeback	1.1 [803]		LVP	Julius Randle (LAL): -14.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.16	0.17	-0.02	-0.00	16	70%	0.16	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Kenneth Faried	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	10	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.13	0.00	0.10	-0.03	11	52%	0.16	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	13	52%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Nikola Jokic	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	22	58%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Juan Hernangomez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0	0.07	-0.06	0.01	7	82%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.10	0.03	17	60%	0.21	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.12	0.01	16	54%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.05	0.00	16	65%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	9	28%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	1.8	29.3	15.4	27.5	2.3	34.7	132.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +39.8%

DEN +5.4%

DEN +17.8%

LAL -9.6%

LAL -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAL	NBA	DEN	LAL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.5	14.8	123.3	119.8	107.7
season	14.4	14.5		111.6	104.8
opponent	14.4	14.5		111.6	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	11.6	13.5	12.6	17.6	13.8
LAL	15.5	17.2	14.1	11.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	76	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.03	21	-15	36	12.9	16.3	-3.45	15.0	12.9	2.19
Danilo Gallinari	84	84	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-10	26	13.7	14.0	-0.26	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Nikola Jokic	73	72	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.01	21	-15	36	13.1	15.4	-2.28	15.0	13.2	1.75
Kenneth Faried	67	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-5	16	13.4	14.5	-1.10	14.6	14.2	0.36
Emmanuel Mudiay	61	60	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-5	16	13.3	14.5	-1.25	14.7	14.0	0.68
Wilson Chandler	55	55	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.39	-12	18	-30	14.9	12.5	2.49	13.3	15.9	-2.64
Jameer Nelson	41	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	13	-20	14.7	13.2	1.53	14.0	14.7	-0.68
Jusuf Nurkic	15	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	13	-20	14.0	13.7	0.25	15.7	14.3	1.46
Juan Hernangomez	16	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.12	-9	15	-24	14.1	13.7	0.33	15.3	14.3	0.98
Jamal Murray	27	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.29	-15	21	-36	16.3	12.9	3.45	12.9	15.0	-2.19

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Robinson	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-4	2	0.0	14.5	-14.46	7.0	13.9	-6.85
Lou Williams	67	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.44	12	-18	30	13.5	16.3	-2.73	14.1	13.2	0.89
Jose Calderon	17	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-1	-4	15.4	14.3	1.08	10.9	14.3	-3.37
Ivica Zubac	57	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.40	8	-14	22	13.3	16.0	-2.74	15.1	12.3	2.72
Timofey Mozgov	23	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	5	-16	14.5	14.4	0.03	12.9	14.0	-1.12
Jordan Clarkson	74	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.48	9	-15	24	13.9	16.0	-2.06	14.1	12.8	1.31
Tarik Black	40	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	2	-10	16.7	13.0	3.72	11.9	15.1	-3.26
Brandon Ingram	77	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-7	8	14.2	15.2	-0.99	14.5	11.4	3.14
Julius Randle	52	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	4	-14	15.9	13.0	2.91	13.0	14.6	-1.54
Nick Young	63	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	0	-6	13.8	15.6	-1.76	14.6	12.4	2.16
D'Angelo Russell	35	36	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	12	-30	15.9	13.7	2.23	12.9	14.3	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.28,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.29,0.16,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, DET 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.23,0.15,0.06,0,0	94.0%
WAS 98, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	93.7%
POR 100, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.31,0.21,0.06,0.02,0	93.7%