NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	7.8 [304]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +21.6%
Washington Wizards	112		Comeback	2.6 [646]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -8.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18	0.15	0.03	-0.00	30	59%	0.23	2	-0.05	10	80%	-0.02
Brandon Rush	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	4	125%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	12	58%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	14	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.09,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	17	46%	0.07	3	-0.16	5	80%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.05	0.02	12	81%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.13	-0.01	9	95%	0.32	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.00	12	71%	0.22	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	8	62%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.14	0.02	16	53%	0.20	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	13	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sheldon McClellan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.0	26.3	15.4	23.7	2.5	31.8	126.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +80.5%

MIN -15.7%

MIN -11.6%

MIN -4.9%

WAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	WAS	NBA	MIN	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	14.8	115.4	123.1	107.7
season	15.3	14.4		109.3	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.7		108.7	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.4	16.7	14.8	16.0	16.0
WAS	14.3	16.8	15.8	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	33	32	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.03	8	-15	23	17.6	15.1	2.55	18.2	14.3	3.83
Kris Dunn	21	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-3	-1	19.3	15.0	4.30	18.0	14.9	3.07
Gorgui Dieng	76	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-7	7	15.6	17.8	-2.18	15.4	17.1	-1.69
Karl-Anthony Towns	74	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-4	1	15.5	17.9	-2.41	15.0	18.5	-3.52
Nemanja Bjelica	19	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-1	-5	16.9	15.7	1.16	16.9	15.3	1.64
Andrew Wiggins	76	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-3	-1	15.2	20.0	-4.82	15.0	19.2	-4.19
Cole Aldrich	13	13	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-2	-3	19.3	15.4	3.88	19.2	15.1	4.06
Ricky Rubio	70	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-4	1	15.0	19.3	-4.30	14.9	18.0	-3.07
Zach LaVine	73	73	-0.93	0.43	-1.35	-0.40	-18	11	-29	16.1	15.6	0.46	15.3	17.3	-2.07

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	79	79	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-9	25	14.9	20.7	-5.76	15.4	20.1	-4.73
Marcin Gortat	64	65	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-3	13	15.4	16.4	-1.05	15.3	17.7	-2.45
Bradley Beal	66	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-6	19	14.7	18.2	-3.54	15.9	16.2	-0.26
Markieff Morris	69	68	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	0	7	15.6	16.0	-0.43	15.6	17.0	-1.31
Otto Porter	68	69	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	-1	9	14.7	18.7	-3.99	14.9	19.2	-4.29
Kelly Oubre Jr.	24	23	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	8	-9	17.9	14.9	2.99	18.7	15.0	3.70
Jason Smith	39	39	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.04	-1	8	-9	16.9	14.7	2.15	17.7	14.7	2.96
Sheldon McClellan	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	9	-11	18.8	14.8	4.08	16.4	15.8	0.60
Andrew Nicholson	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	9	-11	15.1	15.7	-0.62	17.1	15.9	1.26
Trey Burke	17	16	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.08	-13	20	-33	19.2	14.9	4.38	18.7	15.4	3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.89,0.78,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.46,0.76,0.72,1	90.3%
PHX 107, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.69,1	90.2%
MIL 96, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.99,1	89.9%