NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Excitement	8.1 [245]		MVP	Nene (HOU): +56.2%
Houston Rockets	118		Comeback	3.0 [701]		LVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): -16.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.24,0.24	0.02	0.20	-0.02	16	50%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Roberson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	11	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	8	68%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jerami Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semaj Christon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.09,0.22,0.12,-0.15	0.18	-0.29	0.04	34	62%	-0.06	5	-0.09	11	82%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.56	0.56	0.16	0.41	0.01	6	82%	0.56	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	7	47%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	4	90%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	16	57%	0.12	6	-0.11	14	86%	0.07
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.02	11	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.12	-0.01	14	36%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,-0.03,-0.16	-0.16	0.07	-0.24	-0.01	20	54%	-0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	31.6	15.8	25.3	1.0	44.3	146.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC -13.9%

HOU +43.4%

HOU +21.4%

OKC -0.5%

OKC -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	14.9	14.8	119.6	120.4	107.7
season	14.0	13.7		107.0	113.2
opponent	14.9	15.1		108.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.1	15.7	13.5	15.4	14.6
HOU	13.6	12.6	16.5	17.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	41	43	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-7	12	16.4	13.4	3.06	15.8	14.2	1.61
Domantas Sabonis	47	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-3	4	13.6	15.6	-2.04	14.9	14.9	-0.07
Andre Roberson	75	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-6	10	13.3	19.1	-5.80	15.3	13.5	1.84
Semaj Christon	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	2	-6	19.1	13.3	5.80	14.6	15.0	-0.32
Alex Abrines	31	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-3	4	16.5	13.8	2.74	14.5	15.1	-0.55
Jerami Grant	41	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	1	-4	15.9	13.8	2.09	15.9	14.1	1.74
Russell Westbrook	81	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-4	6	13.4	21.1	-7.68	14.7	15.7	-1.02
Victor Oladipo	82	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.40	-9	7	-16	15.2	11.7	3.53	14.9	14.9	0.02
Steven Adams	65	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.48	-7	5	-12	13.5	16.9	-3.37	13.7	17.2	-3.55

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	36	36	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.33	12	-10	22	11.9	16.6	-4.65	15.8	14.0	1.79
James Harden	80	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	0	2	15.1	14.1	1.02	13.6	19.1	-5.41
Eric Gordon	55	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	1	0	15.0	14.8	0.21	15.8	13.2	2.55
Trevor Ariza	75	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	2	-2	14.7	15.6	-0.94	13.5	18.5	-4.92
Patrick Beverley	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	1	0	14.5	15.7	-1.17	14.9	14.2	0.64
Ryan Anderson	68	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	-1	4	14.7	15.3	-0.55	13.4	17.4	-3.98
Corey Brewer	23	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	0	2	15.6	14.7	0.94	18.5	13.5	4.92
Montrezl Harrell	57	56	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	6	-10	16.4	12.7	3.71	14.4	15.0	-0.61
Sam Dekker	31	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	9	-16	16.0	14.4	1.63	16.6	13.7	2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 111, CLE 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.88,0.57,0.71,1	91.9%
CHI 99, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.66,0.55,0.71,0.33,0.41,1	90.2%
DAL 99, CHH 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.91,0.83,1	90.0%