NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	99		Excitement	9.1 [146]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (ATL): +27.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	94		Comeback	4.0 [239]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): -21.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.07	0.20	-0.01	12	58%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.05	-0.03	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	9	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.06	0.03	18	55%	0.18	4	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	8	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Malcolm Delaney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	6	47%	0.06	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	6	58%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2	-0.08	-0.10	0.02	19	40%	-0.16	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	-0.02	16	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	12	48%	0.04	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	-0.00	13	60%	0.07	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	11	36%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.17,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	0.03	20	42%	-0.01	3	-0.20	8	75%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	26.1	16.5	25.1	2.4	37.5	132.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.6%

ATL +8.0%

NOP -3.5%

ATL +2.8%

NOP -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NOP	NBA	ATL	NOP	NBA
this game	15.0	13.4	14.8	97.1	93.1	107.7
season	14.4	14.1		104.2	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.9		106.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.4	15.2	13.4	15.9	15.0
NOP	10.1	15.4	14.8	13.6	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	55	55	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.73	7	-2	9	14.5	15.6	-1.06	13.1	13.7	-0.53
Thabo Sefolosha	70	68	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.29	14	-9	23	14.2	16.7	-2.53	13.8	12.5	1.29
Paul Millsap	74	72	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-2	9	13.9	17.9	-4.01	13.0	14.3	-1.34
Mike Muscala	43	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	4	-3	15.4	14.7	0.72	12.7	13.9	-1.19
Dwight Howard	61	62	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	3	-1	15.5	14.2	1.27	14.2	12.1	2.09
Dennis Schroder	69	69	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	5	-5	15.0	14.9	0.06	13.4	13.2	0.20
Kris Humphries	20	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	3	-1	17.6	14.3	3.26	13.3	13.4	-0.11
Kent Bazemore	48	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.08	0	5	-5	14.3	15.6	-1.22	13.0	13.7	-0.67
Malcolm Delaney	40	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	7	-9	15.9	14.4	1.47	14.0	13.0	0.97
DeAndre' Bembry	30	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	11	-17	16.9	14.2	2.67	12.8	13.6	-0.84

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	38	39	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.12	10	-15	25	13.4	13.4	-0.03	15.3	14.8	0.49
Tyreke Evans	25	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-9	13	13.5	13.4	0.12	16.1	14.6	1.46
Terrence Jones	63	64	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-3	1	13.4	13.3	0.15	14.5	15.9	-1.42
Solomon Hill	48	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	1	-7	12.6	14.1	-1.41	15.4	14.6	0.79
Anthony Davis	77	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-4	3	13.8	12.0	1.76	15.5	13.2	2.31
Dante Cunningham	55	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-1	-3	13.4	13.4	-0.01	15.6	14.1	1.48
Jrue Holiday	76	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	4	-13	13.4	13.5	-0.12	14.6	16.1	-1.46
E'Twaun Moore	57	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.51	0	-5	5	13.1	13.7	-0.56	14.9	15.1	-0.19
Buddy Hield	66	66	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.19	-17	12	-29	13.6	13.0	0.63	13.9	17.0	-3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.24,0.46,0.62,0.72,0.43,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.04,0	90.1%
NJN 99, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.15,0	89.7%
BOS 104, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.17,0.28,0	89.6%