NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	106		Excitement	5.7 [687]		MVP	Doug McDermott (CHI): +21.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	2.6 [217]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -12.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.05	-0.02	9	85%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Jimmy Butler	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.02	0.14	-0.02	20	45%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	10	90%	0.16	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.03	0.02	12	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	13	46%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.06	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.00	11	68%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	21	61%	0.19	5	-0.15	9	67%	-0.02
Kay Felder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	11	36%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.01	15	57%	0.07	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	22.4	16.4	29.3	2.8	38.0	137.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.3%

CHI +0.6%

CLE -5.7%

CHI +19.2%

CLE -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	14.8	115.2	101.1	107.7
season	15.1	14.9		105.9	113.5
opponent	14.7	14.8		109.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.3	16.0	14.5	16.3	16.0
CLE	14.7	15.3	17.6	13.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	64	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.10	16	-4	20	14.9	18.5	-3.61	15.0	15.3	-0.25
Jimmy Butler	70	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-3	18	16.8	13.5	3.25	15.5	13.8	1.69
Taj Gibson	63	64	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	1	10	16.7	14.4	2.30	15.3	14.7	0.62
Nikola Mirotic	52	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	5	2	15.3	17.0	-1.73	14.4	16.0	-1.66
Michael Carter-Williams	52	53	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	10	-8	17.0	14.8	2.16	15.2	15.0	0.21
Robin Lopez	41	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	6	0	17.6	14.7	2.86	16.3	14.2	2.19
Jerian Grant	40	40	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	2	8	14.8	17.0	-2.16	15.0	15.2	-0.21
Cristiano Felicio	23	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	12	-12	13.6	16.8	-3.28	14.3	15.4	-1.14
Dwyane Wade	55	54	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	19	-26	16.0	16.0	0.04	14.6	15.8	-1.21

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	31	30	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.05	2	-14	16	14.3	15.5	-1.19	14.5	16.7	-2.21
Tristan Thompson	61	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-10	8	15.6	14.1	1.51	16.4	15.4	1.01
Kay Felder	33	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-2	-8	14.3	15.6	-1.31	15.7	16.2	-0.42
DeAndre Liggins	44	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-8	4	15.3	14.9	0.38	16.7	15.4	1.36
Iman Shumpert	47	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-4	-4	15.0	15.3	-0.33	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Richard Jefferson	57	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	14.8	15.6	-0.80	15.6	16.7	-1.16
Jordan McRae	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-4	-4	15.1	15.2	-0.17	16.2	15.6	0.69
Channing Frye	59	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	-3	-6	15.5	14.5	0.93	16.0	16.1	-0.16
LeBron James	70	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.19	-13	1	-14	15.4	14.2	1.20	16.7	13.8	2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, LAL 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.13,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.1%
GSW 102, VAN 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.0%
GSW 119, SAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.36,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	92.0%