NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	82		Excitement	2.4 [1246]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +17.5%
San Antonio Spurs	110		Comeback	1.1 [1136]		LVP	Lucas Nogueira (TOR): -6.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	0.00	21	58%	0.07	3	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Terrence Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.08	11	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	20%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	33%	-0.02	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Lucas Nogueira	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.24	0.00	0.07	12	86%	0.17	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.00	-0.00	16	72%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.01	9	75%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	3	33%	0.00	4	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	9	33%	0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.07	6	67%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	26.3	15.5	24.9	2.0	27.3	122.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +45.2%

SAS +0.7%

TOR -1.3%

SAS +3.1%

SAS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAS	NBA	TOR	SAS	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	14.8	87.2	115.8	107.7
season	15.2	15.4		110.0	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.9		103.7	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.9	16.9	16.1	16.5	15.8
SAS	13.8	15.8	13.9	15.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	17	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-32	36	15.8	15.8	0.04	11.9	15.4	-3.46
Fred VanVleet	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-24	20	16.2	15.7	0.46	11.9	15.1	-3.15
Bruno Caboclo	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-26	24	15.8	15.8	0.01	12.0	14.9	-2.88
Cory Joseph	48	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-30	32	15.0	16.6	-1.57	15.0	14.4	0.52
Jakob Poeltl	49	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.17	-8	-20	12	15.7	15.8	-0.11	15.0	14.3	0.66
Terrence Ross	47	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-24	20	15.0	16.5	-1.49	15.9	13.5	2.37
Lucas Nogueira	46	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.14	-11	-17	6	15.3	16.2	-0.95	15.3	14.2	1.07
Pascal Siakam	48	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.18	-17	-11	-6	16.2	15.3	0.95	14.2	15.3	-1.07
DeMarre Carroll	37	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.25	-20	-8	-12	16.6	15.2	1.38	14.0	15.1	-1.14
Jonas Valanciunas	45	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.15	-20	-8	-12	15.8	15.7	0.11	14.3	15.0	-0.66
DeMar DeRozan	64	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.42	-30	2	-32	15.4	16.7	-1.29	14.2	15.7	-1.52
Kyle Lowry	54	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.37	-30	2	-32	16.9	14.2	2.72	16.3	12.6	3.67

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	53	54	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.50	38	-10	48	14.8	14.6	0.14	16.8	14.4	2.33
LaMarcus Aldridge	57	58	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.42	35	-7	42	14.5	14.9	-0.42	16.6	14.5	2.09
Tony Parker	43	44	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.26	25	3	22	14.9	14.5	0.39	16.4	15.2	1.21
Danny Green	43	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	11	6	16.0	13.6	2.34	15.9	15.7	0.17
Dewayne Dedmon	46	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.35	20	8	12	15.4	14.1	1.31	16.6	15.1	1.46
Pau Gasol	39	41	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	17	-6	14.7	14.7	0.04	14.9	16.5	-1.66
Manu Ginobili	38	38	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.19	9	19	-10	13.5	15.5	-1.99	14.9	16.4	-1.45
Patty Mills	33	33	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.18	7	21	-14	16.4	13.8	2.60	14.9	16.3	-1.35
Kyle Anderson	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	32	-36	12.6	15.1	-2.56	16.4	15.7	0.73
Davis Bertans	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	32	-36	11.9	15.4	-3.46	15.8	15.8	0.04
Dejounte Murray	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	32	-36	11.9	15.4	-3.46	15.8	15.8	0.04
Jonathon Simmons	41	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	32	-36	14.9	14.6	0.28	14.9	16.4	-1.48
David Lee	30	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	34	-40	15.6	14.3	1.37	14.3	16.4	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 78, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
ATL 93, DEN 138	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ORL 90, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%