NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	118		Excitement	9.9 [74]		MVP	Randy Foye (BKN): +71.3%
Brooklyn Nets	120		Comeback	6.0 [83]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -35.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0.71	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.71	0.08	0.63	-0.00	11	62%	0.71	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11,0.27	0.12	0.18	0.03	16	60%	0.31	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Ramon Sessions	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.01	6	56%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Jeremy Lamb	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	14	55%	0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.35	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.35	-0.08	-0.26	0.01	17	42%	-0.21	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.71	0.71	0.02	0.69	0.00	2	75%	0.71	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.52,0.46	0.46	0.24	0.22	-0.00	11	84%	0.46	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.21,0.16,0.39,0.38	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.01	15	72%	0.46	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.19	0.01	13	70%	0.34	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	45%	0.00	0	0.00	10	80%	0.03
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	11	65%	0.07	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	64%	0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	27.2	14.6	28.5	2.3	34.1	135.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +88.5%

BKN +5.7%

CHA -41.5%

CHA -2.6%

CHA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BKN	NBA	CHA	BKN	NBA
this game	15.2	13.3	14.8	116.8	118.8	107.7
season	15.1	13.7		107.9	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.8		109.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.4	16.7	14.1	16.8	15.2
BKN	14.3	12.1	12.6	14.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	45	48	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.19	-1	-1	0	16.2	14.4	1.84	13.0	13.6	-0.60
Roy Hibbert	42	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	0	-2	16.5	14.2	2.26	11.7	14.5	-2.78
Ramon Sessions	33	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.07	-4	2	-6	16.8	14.4	2.48	11.1	14.4	-3.29
Frank Kaminsky	42	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	5	-12	16.2	14.4	1.77	11.6	14.6	-2.94
Nicolas Batum	78	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.37	3	-5	8	14.4	18.0	-3.60	13.8	11.9	1.92
Marvin Williams	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-7	12	14.4	16.2	-1.77	14.6	11.6	2.94
Cody Zeller	59	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-2	2	14.2	16.5	-2.26	14.5	11.7	2.78
Kemba Walker	73	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	0	-2	14.6	16.6	-2.03	14.2	11.1	3.08
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	74	72	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.75	-2	0	-2	15.2	15.0	0.19	13.2	13.7	-0.45

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	68	70	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.83	5	-3	8	13.7	12.5	1.22	14.9	15.7	-0.81
Randy Foye	41	41	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-9	20	13.5	13.2	0.34	16.5	14.2	2.29
Sean Kilpatrick	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.55	-4	6	-10	14.6	11.1	3.41	14.7	16.1	-1.41
Bojan Bogdanovic	53	55	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	-1	4	13.6	13.1	0.48	15.6	14.7	0.97
Trevor Booker	50	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	7	-12	13.9	12.8	1.04	13.4	16.8	-3.48
Caris LeVert	33	32	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	-1	4	11.6	14.2	-2.62	16.3	14.6	1.71
Justin Hamilton	32	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	3	-4	12.8	13.6	-0.77	15.7	14.9	0.81
Joe Harris	28	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	5	-8	13.1	13.4	-0.27	13.0	16.0	-3.02
Jeremy Lin	49	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	7	-12	13.3	13.4	-0.06	14.4	15.8	-1.41
Isaiah Whitehead	34	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.13	1	1	0	12.3	13.9	-1.53	15.5	15.0	0.46
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	52	53	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.28	5	-3	8	12.6	14.1	-1.45	16.8	13.4	3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.14,0.25,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.23,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.89,0.89,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.69,0.84,1	92.1%
IND 79, CHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.98,1	91.4%
SAC 77, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.92,1	91.2%