NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	102		Excitement	8.1 [250]		MVP	Otto Porter (WAS): +43.0%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	14.7 [128]		LVP	Matthew Dellavedova (MIL): -22.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	10	67%	0.24	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	12	63%	0.16	2	-0.06	11	73%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06	0.11	-0.05	0.00	14	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	11	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.12,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	18	39%	-0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.12,-0.19,-0.22	-0.09	-0.17	-0.03	9	31%	-0.19	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.08

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.43	0.43	0.24	0.21	0.02	18	84%	0.47	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.18	0.01	14	58%	0.31	3	-0.11	10	90%	0.07
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	11	69%	0.14	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.02	-0.02	19	45%	0.14	7	-0.24	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.0	31.0	14.8	25.4	2.5	36.3	133.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +53.7%

WAS +10.8%

MIL -1.6%

MIL -13.9%

WAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	14.8	103.0	110.3	107.7
season	14.9	14.4		107.4	109.9
opponent	14.9	15.3		108.7	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.7	15.9	14.7	14.5	14.7
WAS	12.9	17.6	14.7	14.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Brogdon	48	45	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.26	-1	-4	3	14.7	14.6	0.10	15.9	13.7	2.16
Michael Beasley	37	34	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.16	0	-5	5	14.7	14.6	0.07	16.4	13.9	2.50
Jason Terry	27	27	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.02	4	-9	13	14.0	14.9	-0.85	17.0	13.8	3.19
John Henson	54	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.41	7	-12	19	14.1	15.3	-1.16	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Greg Monroe	44	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	5	-15	15.5	14.0	1.56	15.6	14.1	1.56
Matthew Dellavedova	62	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.60	3	-8	11	14.3	15.3	-0.98	14.0	16.0	-1.98
Jabari Parker	82	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	2	-9	14.6	15.1	-0.56	14.3	17.5	-3.23
Giannis Antetokounmpo	79	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.51	-3	-2	-1	14.7	14.3	0.38	14.5	15.5	-1.03
Tony Snell	62	62	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.41	-18	13	-31	15.1	13.9	1.18	13.1	17.6	-4.44

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	77	79	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.36	15	-10	25	13.5	19.6	-6.13	14.7	14.3	0.38
Otto Porter	85	87	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.38	12	-7	19	14.1	19.0	-4.87	14.5	15.9	-1.43
John Wall	87	88	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.34	10	-5	15	14.4	17.5	-3.09	14.4	16.4	-1.92
Markieff Morris	77	77	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	1	3	14.5	15.4	-0.90	14.8	14.1	0.73
Marcin Gortat	84	85	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-2	9	14.7	15.1	-0.40	14.9	13.1	1.76
Trey Burke	7	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	8	-11	18.0	14.5	3.52	17.0	14.5	2.55
Jason Smith	11	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	9	-13	17.8	14.3	3.48	14.2	14.7	-0.46
Kelly Oubre Jr.	34	36	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.12	-4	9	-13	15.8	14.2	1.64	14.3	14.9	-0.60
Marcus Thornton	23	23	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.03	-12	17	-29	19.2	13.4	5.82	14.4	14.7	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.54,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.18,0.31,0.34,0.77,0.73,1	92.6%
NJN 97, CLE 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.54,0.69,0.92,1	91.9%
TOR 104, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.46,0.76,0.42,1	91.5%