NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	7.6 [340]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +17.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Comeback	1.5 [946]		LVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): -9.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	13	68%	0.15	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	20	55%	0.12	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.03
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	75%	0.06	4	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Devin Booker	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.07	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Alex Len	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
TJ Warren	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.01	20	59%	0.25	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	18	68%	0.22	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	16	62%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	62%	0.10	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	5	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	35.7	15.3	28.3	1.6	30.2	135.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +22.8%

MIN +9.7%

MIN +13.1%

PHX -7.5%

MIN +11.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	13.0	15.4	14.8	106.9	112.7	107.7
season	13.9	15.3		105.4	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.2	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	12.2	11.5	15.4	13.0
MIN	12.9	14.0	17.3	18.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	30	30	0.01	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-8	9	14.3	12.4	1.84	15.2	15.5	-0.32
TJ Warren	21	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-5	3	14.3	12.6	1.66	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Marquese Chriss	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-4	1	12.8	13.1	-0.26	15.3	15.5	-0.18
Alex Len	43	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-7	7	14.0	12.2	1.87	14.3	16.1	-1.80
Jared Dudley	47	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-5	3	13.3	12.7	0.57	15.1	15.6	-0.58
Devin Booker	59	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-4	1	12.1	14.2	-2.05	16.4	14.0	2.41
PJ Tucker	74	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	12.7	13.6	-0.90	15.7	14.6	1.14
Brandon Knight	59	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	13.5	12.2	1.29	15.2	15.7	-0.45
Tyson Chandler	66	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	1	-9	12.3	14.3	-1.97	15.6	15.0	0.53
Eric Bledsoe	70	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	2	-11	12.4	14.3	-1.86	15.5	15.0	0.52

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	83	81	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-2	11	15.2	16.1	-0.81	12.9	13.2	-0.35
Karl-Anthony Towns	74	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-4	15	15.5	15.1	0.44	12.9	13.2	-0.39
Gorgui Dieng	85	84	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	0	7	15.4	15.4	0.05	12.9	13.5	-0.60
Zach LaVine	76	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-1	9	15.8	14.3	1.46	13.3	11.9	1.46
Ricky Rubio	79	78	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	0	7	15.5	15.2	0.28	12.6	14.3	-1.67
Kris Dunn	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	7	-7	15.2	15.5	-0.28	14.3	12.6	1.67
Cole Aldrich	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	7	-7	15.4	15.4	-0.05	13.5	12.9	0.60
Shabazz Muhammad	45	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	10	-13	15.0	15.7	-0.62	12.5	13.4	-0.90
Nemanja Bjelica	28	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	11	-15	15.1	15.5	-0.44	13.2	12.9	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.8,0.83,0.69,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.7%
CLE 81, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.83,0.97,1,1,1	93.4%
ATL 96, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.88,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	93.4%