NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	7.6 [352]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +23.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	1110.1 [6]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -47.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.23	0.09	0.15	0.01	15	62%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	-0.09	0.24	-0.01	16	34%	0.21	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	5	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.14	-0.04	0.08	19	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
James Harden	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.01	-0.03	0.09	0.05	20	55%	0.19	7	-0.18	11	82%	-0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
Corey Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	22%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Sam Dekker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,-0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	28	60%	0.28	6	-0.14	12	83%	0.02
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	83%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	18	59%	0.20	8	-0.22	5	60%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	7	44%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.48	-0.48	-0.09	-0.35	0.04	17	34%	-0.31	1	-0.17	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	28.3	14.7	25.4	2.3	38.3	2.5	22.5	161.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +50.3%

MIN -8.0%

MIN -17.6%

HOU +25.9%

MIN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	13.3	15.1	14.8	99.1	97.3	107.7
season	13.7	15.3		113.2	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.9		110.2	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	12.8	14.5	12.6	13.6	12.9	13.3
MIN	14.4	14.9	16.2	17.1	11.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	73	73	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.52	9	-7	16	13.4	13.2	0.15	15.7	14.0	1.71
Trevor Ariza	80	83	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.57	2	0	2	13.3	13.4	-0.10	14.9	15.7	-0.81
James Harden	92	92	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.49	4	-2	6	13.1	14.4	-1.33	14.8	16.4	-1.60
Patrick Beverley	95	93	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	-3	8	13.3	13.5	-0.20	14.5	17.8	-3.25
Ryan Anderson	73	77	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	-3	8	13.8	12.4	1.33	15.2	14.9	0.25
Sam Dekker	36	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	0	2	13.3	13.3	0.00	15.6	14.9	0.69
Clint Capela	30	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	3	-4	14.3	12.9	1.41	16.3	14.7	1.65
Corey Brewer	20	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	4	-6	14.4	13.1	1.33	16.4	14.8	1.60
Nene	28	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	5	-8	13.2	13.3	-0.17	15.6	14.9	0.62
Montrezl Harrell	33	31	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.04	-11	13	-24	11.5	14.1	-2.58	13.6	15.7	-2.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	67	65	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.07	7	-9	16	16.1	13.5	2.60	13.9	12.5	1.37
Cole Aldrich	29	32	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.07	1	-3	4	15.0	15.1	-0.12	13.3	13.3	0.06
Shabazz Muhammad	36	37	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.06	0	-2	2	15.5	14.9	0.65	13.4	13.2	0.19
Tyus Jones	1	0	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-2	2	0.0	15.2	-15.23	0.0	13.3	-13.30
Kris Dunn	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-5	8	15.7	14.9	0.76	14.6	12.9	1.67
Nemanja Bjelica	34	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	0	-2	13.7	15.7	-2.03	13.2	13.4	-0.15
Zach LaVine	94	94	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-1	0	15.2	14.4	0.83	13.7	11.4	2.22
Karl-Anthony Towns	92	91	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	2	-6	14.9	15.9	-0.99	13.0	14.6	-1.62
Andrew Wiggins	93	93	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	1	-4	14.9	15.8	-0.84	12.9	15.3	-2.42
Ricky Rubio	89	88	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.46	-11	9	-20	14.9	15.9	-0.98	12.9	15.0	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.54,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 113, PHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.42,0	89.8%
ORL 96, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.08,0	89.8%
OKC 114, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.84,0.54,0.53,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	89.4%