NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	6.8 [493]		MVP	Nick Young (LAL): +32.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	119		Comeback	2.1 [1212]		LVP	Julius Randle (LAL): -13.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.33	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.29	0.08	0.04	19	84%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.02	-0.01	12	77%	0.23	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	11	68%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	10	45%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.01	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	15	52%	0.04	5	-0.17	1	0%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	-0.01	20	63%	0.22	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	8	87%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	3	133%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.01	18	55%	0.17	2	-0.05	11	55%	-0.07
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	17	57%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	42%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	27.5	15.4	22.4	2.3	29.6	123.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +19.0%

CLE +3.2%

CLE +2.7%

CLE +22.3%

CLE +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	14.8	114.9	126.6	107.7
season	14.5	14.9		104.8	113.5
opponent	14.7	14.4		109.6	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.7	15.7	17.6	16.5	15.5
CLE	15.6	13.1	16.7	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-11	11	15.6	15.4	0.23	15.2	15.2	0.01
Luol Deng	65	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-10	9	15.8	14.7	1.19	15.1	15.2	-0.08
Brandon Ingram	80	80	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-12	13	15.5	15.4	0.06	15.2	14.9	0.36
Julius Randle	57	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-8	5	15.2	15.9	-0.77	14.9	15.5	-0.54
Jordan Clarkson	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-1	-9	14.9	16.4	-1.51	15.4	14.7	0.66
Nick Young	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.08	-12	1	-13	15.1	17.0	-1.88	14.6	17.4	-2.83
Lou Williams	51	51	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	3	-17	16.5	14.2	2.34	15.3	15.0	0.34
Larry Nance Jr.	52	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.05	-16	5	-21	15.4	15.6	-0.25	15.7	14.5	1.19

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	76	77	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.16	17	-6	23	15.5	13.8	1.64	15.4	15.7	-0.28
Kyrie Irving	76	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-1	13	14.4	18.3	-3.86	15.7	14.4	1.25
Kevin Love	62	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	4	3	15.6	14.3	1.24	15.6	15.1	0.49
Iman Shumpert	57	56	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	3	5	14.8	15.6	-0.81	15.6	15.2	0.41
Richard Jefferson	37	36	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	5	1	15.5	14.9	0.63	14.5	16.1	-1.54
Channing Frye	29	28	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	4	3	14.7	15.4	-0.63	15.4	15.5	-0.12
JR Smith	59	59	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	7	-3	14.9	15.6	-0.70	15.9	14.7	1.22
Tristan Thompson	53	54	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	13	-15	15.1	15.3	-0.19	15.5	15.4	0.09
DeAndre Liggins	19	16	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	14	-17	17.5	14.6	2.90	14.4	15.7	-1.25
Jordan McRae	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	14.5	15.2	-0.67	8.0	15.6	-7.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.54,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 113, OKC 121	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.9%
MEM 84, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
SAC 100, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.4%