NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	100		Excitement	3.2 [1154]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +12.7%
Houston Rockets	122		Comeback	1.3 [1246]		LVP	Langston Galloway (NOP): -4.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Frazier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	5	83%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	15	37%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	17	51%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Reggie Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	42%	0.01	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Terrence Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	14	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03
Langston Galloway	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.02	10	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	-0.00	0.03	15	71%	0.17	4	-0.04	11	82%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.21	0.02	0.12	17	81%	0.11	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	-0.05	10	65%	0.09	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	18	53%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	8	28%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	27.5	14.8	24.8	1.8	25.2	121.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.3%

HOU +7.4%

HOU +6.4%

HOU +0.6%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	HOU	NBA	NOP	HOU	NBA
this game	15.1	13.2	14.8	100.0	117.3	107.7
season	14.1	13.7		104.1	113.2
opponent	14.9	15.0		108.1	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.8	15.1	16.4	14.1	15.1
HOU	11.5	11.7	15.6	14.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheick Diallo	44	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	-15	8	15.4	14.8	0.58	14.2	12.5	1.76
Buddy Hield	51	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-14	6	15.1	15.0	0.12	13.8	12.6	1.25
Alexis Ajinca	48	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-16	10	14.3	15.7	-1.40	13.4	13.1	0.29
Reggie Williams	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-16	10	14.3	15.4	-1.10	10.9	14.1	-3.16
E'Twaun Moore	51	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-12	2	15.2	15.0	0.20	13.8	12.6	1.14
Jrue Holiday	70	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-14	6	15.3	14.4	0.90	14.1	11.1	2.92
Tim Frazier	52	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.14	-15	-7	-8	15.1	15.0	0.12	12.7	13.8	-1.14
Anthony Davis	48	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-8	-6	15.0	15.1	-0.04	12.6	13.9	-1.31
Langston Galloway	48	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	-3	-16	14.7	15.4	-0.64	12.3	13.9	-1.63
Terrence Jones	59	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-5	-12	15.6	14.3	1.26	13.1	13.3	-0.20

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	61	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.00	13	9	4	12.8	13.8	-1.03	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Patrick Beverley	75	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	12	-2	13.2	13.2	0.01	14.6	16.1	-1.42
James Harden	71	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	8	6	13.4	12.8	0.53	15.8	13.4	2.43
Ryan Anderson	58	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.38	22	0	22	13.9	12.4	1.51	15.7	14.2	1.52
Trevor Ariza	64	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.16	14	8	6	13.5	12.7	0.79	15.4	14.5	0.85
Sam Dekker	51	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	17	-12	12.5	13.9	-1.42	14.4	15.7	-1.24
Nene	22	21	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	10	2	11.2	13.8	-2.57	14.9	15.1	-0.26
Clint Capela	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	18	-14	12.7	13.6	-0.91	14.9	15.2	-0.28
Corey Brewer	36	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	12	-2	13.0	13.3	-0.32	13.9	15.7	-1.85
Montrezl Harrell	32	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.12	6	16	-10	15.3	12.3	3.08	15.4	14.9	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.83,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 69, PHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHA 68, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DEN 71, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%