NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	95		Excitement	2.1 [1283]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +7.6%
Chicago Bulls	69		Comeback	1.1 [500]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): -5.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	13	69%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.09	14	45%	0.04	3	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.07	10	65%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	30%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	14	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	9	35%	-0.02	3	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	10	36%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	14	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	24.7	15.7	25.2	1.7	24.0	116.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +47.6%

MIL +0.9%

CHI -4.1%

MIL +3.7%

MIL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	16.1	16.8	14.8	108.0	79.3	107.7
season	14.9	15.1		107.4	105.9
opponent	14.8	15.3		105.9	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.3	14.9	16.9	20.2	16.1
CHI	18.8	16.4	14.4	17.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	65	65	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.35	29	-3	32	15.6	17.7	-2.15	17.2	15.5	1.64
Mirza Teletovic	48	48	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.22	18	8	10	17.0	15.2	1.78	16.5	17.2	-0.70
Jason Terry	34	36	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.28	20	6	14	17.2	15.5	1.72	16.6	16.9	-0.32
Greg Monroe	41	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.11	14	12	2	17.9	14.6	3.24	16.5	17.0	-0.53
Malcolm Brogdon	47	46	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.12	14	12	2	17.7	14.4	3.34	16.9	16.6	0.30
Matthew Dellavedova	41	41	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.14	12	14	-2	14.4	17.7	-3.34	16.6	16.9	-0.30
John Henson	39	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	15	-4	14.1	17.8	-3.67	17.1	16.5	0.55
Tony Snell	47	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	17	-8	15.0	17.5	-2.51	17.0	16.5	0.52
Jabari Parker	51	49	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	19	-12	15.4	17.2	-1.80	16.3	17.3	-0.97
Rashad Vaughn	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	17.2	16.0	1.21	16.7	16.8	-0.02
Steve Novak	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	29	-32	23.0	15.8	7.18	19.0	16.7	2.34
Thon Maker	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	29	-32	18.9	15.9	2.94	16.0	16.8	-0.83
Miles Plumlee	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	17.2	16.0	1.21	16.7	16.8	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerian Grant	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-25	24	16.7	16.8	-0.02	17.2	16.0	1.21
Paul Zipser	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-23	20	16.3	16.9	-0.53	18.1	15.8	2.31
Isaiah Canaan	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.11	-4	-22	18	17.7	16.5	1.24	20.2	15.0	5.11
Taj Gibson	36	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-17	8	17.2	16.4	0.82	14.6	17.3	-2.76
Cristiano Felicio	33	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-15	4	16.3	17.0	-0.70	18.5	14.7	3.79
Denzel Valentine	40	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.28	-18	-8	-10	17.2	16.4	0.84	16.8	15.6	1.18
Jimmy Butler	55	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-14	2	16.7	17.0	-0.31	16.1	16.3	-0.17
Rajon Rondo	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-12	-2	17.2	16.2	0.92	14.7	18.1	-3.45
Doug McDermott	43	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-19	12	15.7	17.8	-2.12	17.3	15.0	2.39
Robin Lopez	54	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-11	-4	17.0	16.3	0.70	14.7	18.5	-3.79
Bobby Portis	36	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.10	-14	-12	-2	16.5	17.0	-0.51	17.0	15.6	1.46
Dwyane Wade	46	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.26	-22	-4	-18	16.7	16.9	-0.16	14.4	18.3	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 111, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
PHX 108, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
CLE 92, DEN 73	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%