inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 108 Excitement3.6 [1088] MVPJohn Wall (WAS): +22.8%
Washington Wizards 122 Comeback1.5 [609] LVPMarcus Morris (DET): -10.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.090,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.011765%0.123-0.03367%-0.00
Reggie Jackson0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.001054%0.0600.00667%-0.00
Andre Drummond0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.02765%0.072-0.03650%-0.03
Aron Baynes0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.090.000.081271%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Beno Udrih0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.061125%0.0000.002100%0.00
Darrun Hilliard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stanley Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.05573%-0.001-0.0010%0.00
Ish Smith-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.01650%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tobias Harris-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.011640%-0.0200.003100%0.01
Marcus Morris-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.01812%-0.091-0.0200%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Wall0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.210.040.021472%0.2300.001275%0.01
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.170.020.041671%0.1500.003100%0.02
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.04679%0.0500.002100%0.01
Trey Burke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01-0.03467%0.0520.00475%-0.01
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.020.031060%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Otto Porter0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.000.071075%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01961%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tomas Satoransky00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Ochefu00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Kelly Oubre0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.01639%-0.0300.00683%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.733.415.524.22.825.4128.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +32.4%
WAS +8.2%
DET -3.0%
WAS +10.2%
WAS +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETWASNBADETWASNBA
this game16.014.614.8114.9129.8107.7
season15.014.4105.0109.9
opponent14.915.1108.7106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.516.017.416.416.0
WAS13.813.415.316.314.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aron Baynes32310.01-0.510.53-0.073-172015.616.2-0.5716.213.92.27
Beno Udrih1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.2910-243414.216.2-2.0619.614.05.66
Darrun Hilliard1011-0.00-0.500.50-0.238-223013.916.2-2.3519.614.05.66
Ish Smith3837-0.13-0.370.24-0.07-2-121014.117.3-3.2213.615.3-1.68
Stanley Johnson3232-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-121017.215.41.7514.914.50.36
Jon Leuer6161-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-131215.716.5-0.8415.013.91.08
Marcus Morris4747-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-140-1416.215.80.4314.315.0-0.68
Reggie Jackson4546-0.37-0.13-0.240.27-228-3018.114.13.9614.315.0-0.74
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6869-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.04-12-2-1015.118.3-3.2414.216.0-1.80
Andre Drummond5960-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.01-162-1816.515.11.4614.115.5-1.35
Tobias Harris6765-0.49-0.01-0.480.16-228-3016.514.81.7113.816.5-2.72

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bradley Beal67660.440.060.38-0.0316-21814.714.50.1715.517.1-1.63
Otto Porter67660.410.090.32-0.001401414.714.50.2216.115.80.31
John Wall69700.380.120.25-0.0615-11614.514.9-0.3815.318.1-2.85
Marcin Gortat73760.350.150.20-0.2119-52414.614.60.0216.015.80.21
Kelly Oubre67670.270.230.040.1259-414.614.7-0.0415.417.4-2.03
Markieff Morris34340.260.240.01-0.04104615.014.40.5717.515.22.30
Marcus Thornton29310.130.37-0.230.05311-813.915.0-1.0216.615.70.91
Tomas Satoransky11100.120.38-0.270.09113-1214.914.60.3118.515.72.80
Jason Smith880.100.40-0.29-0.01410-615.114.60.5319.715.74.10
Andrew Nicholson13100.040.46-0.410.31-923-3214.314.7-0.3812.716.4-3.69
Daniel Ochefu210.000.50-0.500.09-317-2021.514.57.0123.015.97.08
Trey Burke3031-0.000.50-0.500.15-519-2414.414.8-0.4016.515.80.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.92,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 83, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
LAC 80, WAS 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
MIA 68, ORL 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%