inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 106 Excitement7.3 [398] MVPBradley Beal (WAS): +15.2%
Washington Wizards 109 Comeback3.6 [315] LVPMarvin Williams (CHA): -16.0%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.10-0.020.001080%0.152-0.0700%0.00
Roy Hibbert0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.000100%0.0400.004100%0.02
Cody Zeller0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.020.08-0.030.03782%0.153-0.13875%-0.04
Frank Kaminsky0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.04-0.01950%0.103-0.08250%-0.01
Nicolas Batum-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.010.05-0.050.011465%0.073-0.083100%0.02
Kemba Walker-0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.011557%0.113-0.1200%0.00
Ramon Sessions-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00350%0.011-0.02250%-0.02
Jeremy Lamb-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.020.02-0.040.01769%0.032-0.05250%-0.02
Marvin Williams-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16-0.04-0.13-0.02633%-0.131-0.0300%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bradley Beal0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.040.11-0.001653%0.181-0.03683%-0.01
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.040.021173%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Trey Burke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.00475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Kelly Oubre0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.01-0.001260%0.091-0.0310%-0.02
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.00960%0.082-0.052100%0.01
Otto Porter0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.00956%0.0300.0000%0.00
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00550%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
John Wall0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.13,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.040.011954%0.118-0.25887%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.824.614.825.52.437.2129.3
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +18.7%
CHA -3.4%
WAS +18.1%
WAS +16.4%
WAS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAWASNBACHAWASNBA
this game14.714.914.8108.2112.4107.7
season15.114.4107.9109.9
opponent14.914.8108.7107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.515.016.013.214.7
WAS15.515.614.614.014.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Lamb22230.15-0.650.800.005-81314.114.8-0.7215.914.61.35
Roy Hibbert37370.00-0.500.50-0.031-4513.715.2-1.5315.214.70.49
Ramon Sessions2625-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-1-113.215.2-1.9416.214.41.77
Marco Belinelli4545-0.15-0.350.20-0.212-5714.015.2-1.2514.814.9-0.12
Frank Kaminsky4644-0.18-0.320.14-0.03-52-714.614.7-0.1215.414.50.87
Marvin Williams5253-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.382-5714.714.60.1214.515.4-0.87
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist5352-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.20-52-715.214.01.2514.914.80.12
Kemba Walker7272-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.39-1-2115.213.21.9414.416.2-1.77
Cody Zeller6160-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-41-515.213.71.5314.715.2-0.49
Nicolas Batum7674-0.650.15-0.80-0.42-85-1314.814.10.7214.615.9-1.35

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bradley Beal75750.67-0.170.840.419-61514.615.7-1.0915.113.11.99
Marcin Gortat71720.62-0.120.730.2911-81915.014.70.3215.213.31.88
Kelly Oubre80820.470.030.450.4412-115.312.72.6414.515.7-1.24
John Wall73750.470.030.440.354-1514.416.3-1.8714.814.10.74
Otto Porter76750.370.130.240.3703-314.516.4-1.9115.013.61.36
Trey Burke37360.040.46-0.420.07-14-514.814.9-0.0814.614.7-0.07
Andrew Nicholson9100.020.48-0.460.0203-315.914.81.1013.914.7-0.84
Jason Smith3636-0.010.51-0.520.05-25-716.114.21.8613.915.1-1.25
Marcus Thornton2829-0.150.65-0.790.06-710-1714.615.0-0.4412.815.4-2.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.44,0.55,0.63,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.69,0.65,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.77,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 99, LAL 1060.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.67,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.97,0.99,192.4%
SAC 108, WAS 1140.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.56,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.78,1,192.3%
MIA 97, GSW 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.92,192.0%