inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 89 Excitement2.3 [1257] MVPJaMychal Green (MEM): +9.8%
Memphis Grizzlies 110 Comeback1.1 [161] LVPKlay Thompson (GSW): -8.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.060,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.021368%0.093-0.03580%-0.00
Ian Clark0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02953%0.0200.0010%0.00
Stephen Curry0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.04-0.00-0.041450%0.014-0.016100%0.02
James Michael McAdoo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damian Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0400%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Patrick McCaw-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00350%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.0620%-0.012-0.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.02467%0.013-0.0410%-0.01
David West-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.040.000.073112%0.003-0.04250%-0.00
JaVale McGee-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01737%-0.031-0.0120%-0.01
Draymond Green-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.03741%-0.024-0.04333%-0.02
Klay Thompson-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.000.011429%-0.0900.0000%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.00-0.03774%0.112-0.01580%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.031261%0.041-0.00786%0.00
Troy Williams0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.04769%0.0400.002100%0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.051161%0.0300.001100%0.00
Jarell Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.031059%0.0300.002100%0.01
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.041268%0.073-0.054100%0.01
Andrew Harrison0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.05944%0.042-0.027100%0.02
Wade Baldwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Deyonta Davis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.090.00-0.07922%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Troy Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02926%-0.0500.0010%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.22.432.515.425.62.627.3137.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +15.5%
MEM +14.3%
MEM +5.9%
MEM +11.1%
MEM +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMEMNBAGSWMEMNBA
this game12.816.814.892.7112.2107.7
season13.516.1114.9106.4
opponent14.915.1106.7103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.413.311.814.212.8
MEM15.316.015.920.816.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damian Jones1516-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-212114.512.51.9520.016.23.79
David West2729-0.03-0.470.45-0.113-242713.512.60.9719.415.83.63
James Michael McAdoo1414-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-191714.912.52.4718.616.52.12
Ian Clark4346-0.08-0.420.34-0.287-283511.713.8-2.0818.315.52.74
JaVale McGee1818-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-191711.713.1-1.4217.516.70.82
Shaun Livingston3435-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-191714.012.21.8719.015.63.43
Patrick McCaw3940-0.22-0.280.06-0.16-2-191712.413.1-0.7018.615.63.04
Anderson Varejao3939-0.27-0.23-0.030.26-18-3-1512.812.8-0.0514.918.1-3.12
Kevin Durant6666-0.33-0.17-0.160.29-210-2112.413.7-1.2315.918.7-2.72
Klay Thompson6566-0.39-0.11-0.290.28-232-2513.212.01.2615.319.9-4.57
Draymond Green5556-0.43-0.07-0.350.19-210-2112.912.70.2415.418.7-3.26
Stephen Curry6565-0.48-0.02-0.450.23-243-2712.313.9-1.6015.818.9-3.19

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Allen80790.500.000.50-0.2325-42916.020.5-4.5013.011.91.07
Marc Gasol64630.480.020.46-0.2224-32716.617.3-0.6713.312.01.25
Andrew Harrison71700.450.050.40-0.081831517.215.91.2412.912.50.39
JaMychal Green60610.370.130.24-0.3926-53115.818.4-2.5613.212.11.16
Jarell Martin36350.210.29-0.07-0.02813-516.716.9-0.1212.013.3-1.25
Troy Daniels45430.200.30-0.100.11318-1517.016.70.3212.213.4-1.20
Troy Williams40410.190.31-0.12-0.07912-315.617.7-2.0713.012.70.22
Toney Douglas47430.080.42-0.350.14-223-2518.615.23.4812.613.0-0.40
Zach Randolph41390.020.48-0.460.14-425-2918.815.43.4412.313.2-0.95
Wade Baldwin330.000.50-0.500.03-122-2315.716.9-1.2014.012.81.22
Deyonta Davis330.000.50-0.500.03-122-2315.716.9-1.2014.012.81.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 112, IND 1360.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
TOR 84, SAC 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
VAN 88, SAC 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%