inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 106 Excitement9.5 [101] MVPMarcus Smart (BOS): +63.9%
Houston Rockets 107 Comeback7.8 [252] LVPAl Horford (BOS): -42.3%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Smart0.640,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.640.060.580.00957%0.6400.00580%0.29
Avery Bradley0.150,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.150.010.13-0.011650%0.181-0.0300%0.00
Jaylen Brown0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00658%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.00560%0.081-0.0800%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.02-0.00658%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Terry Rozier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00633%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.050.04-0.09-0.00960%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Isaiah Thomas-0.270,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.270.03-0.280.021851%-0.182-0.093100%0.02
Al Horford-0.420,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.15,-0.42-0.07-0.350.012246%-0.324-0.102100%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.17,0.480.480.120.13-0.221480%0.5410-0.0718100%0.16
Eric Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.120.10-0.011173%0.261-0.03475%-0.00
Patrick Beverley0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.060.00856%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.01769%0.061-0.03250%-0.02
Montrezl Harrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.00564%0.121-0.091100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.011550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Sam Dekker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.00550%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00217%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00312%-0.0600.00250%-0.02
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.01614%-0.0900.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.51.829.614.824.02.438.3134.3
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +89.1%
BOS -27.3%
BOS -15.2%
BOS -0.1%
HOU +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSHOUNBABOSHOUNBA
this game15.513.414.8107.1107.0107.7
season14.713.7110.1113.2
opponent14.914.9108.1108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.713.815.416.515.5
HOU13.311.915.913.013.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Olynyk30300.25-0.751.000.076-71314.416.0-1.6514.013.20.80
Jaylen Brown41420.14-0.640.770.024-5914.516.2-1.7512.714.0-1.33
Terry Rozier30290.13-0.630.750.043-4715.015.7-0.7413.913.30.59
Amir Johnson910-0.06-0.440.390.00-21-316.415.41.0213.013.5-0.49
Jonas Jerebko4041-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-3516.914.62.2814.712.62.11
Marcus Smart5456-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.381-2315.415.7-0.3213.813.00.83
Avery Bradley7576-0.510.01-0.51-0.541-2315.615.40.1913.014.8-1.78
Jae Crowder7374-0.650.15-0.79-0.47-65-1115.515.6-0.1413.214.2-1.02
Isaiah Thomas6868-0.660.16-0.82-0.45-76-1315.814.80.9813.513.30.23
Al Horford7574-0.730.23-0.96-0.52-76-1315.714.90.8513.214.1-0.86

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Montrezl Harrell40390.87-0.371.240.4913-122512.214.2-2.0314.816.0-1.19
Trevor Ariza69700.66-0.160.820.467-61313.313.7-0.4415.415.8-0.44
James Harden73730.60-0.100.700.513-2513.313.8-0.4615.316.1-0.76
Patrick Beverley69670.55-0.050.610.64-34-713.313.7-0.3916.014.61.41
Ryan Anderson61610.360.140.210.128-71513.114.0-0.8815.315.9-0.62
Sam Dekker38360.010.49-0.470.31-1011-2114.213.01.1615.615.50.11
Nene1618-0.030.53-0.550.03-23-513.413.5-0.0814.815.7-0.90
Eric Gordon6363-0.080.58-0.67-0.1110113.613.10.4815.415.8-0.41
Corey Brewer2726-0.100.60-0.70-0.04-23-513.813.30.4616.115.30.76
Clint Capela4442-0.340.84-1.19-0.05-1011-2114.612.62.0116.514.81.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.55,0.67,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 86, LAC 870.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.68,0.96,190.0%
DEN 116, CHA 1190.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.35,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.38,0.78,0.77,0.85,189.9%
UTA 114, ATL 1170.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.45,0.35,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.1,0.25,0.54,0.45,0.91,189.9%