NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	104		Excitement	12.6 [12]		MVP	JaMychal Green (MEM): +11.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	5.5 [394]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -28.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaMychal Green	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	6	71%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	20	59%	0.25	5	-0.18	6	83%	-0.06
Zach Randolph	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07	-0.04	0.11	0.00	14	37%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jarell Martin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	11	30%	-0.10	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Mike Conley	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,-0.13,-0.18,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.27,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.22	-0.03	-0.19	0.01	20	50%	0.21	4	-0.43	10	80%	0.07

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.02	15	63%	0.10	1	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.07	-0.02	12	38%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
TJ McConnell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.07	-0.00	10	76%	0.24	6	-0.28	5	60%	-0.12
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.3,-0.3,-0.45,-0.45,-0.35,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	15	50%	0.28	5	-0.36	6	83%	0.02
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	6	15%	-0.11	3	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.12	-0.18	-0.02	10	50%	-0.02	7	-0.26	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	32.1	15.7	24.4	3.4	40.6	2.4	15.1	1.8	23.3	185.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +8.7%

PHI -1.2%

PHI -9.2%

MEM +44.4%

MEM +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHI	NBA	MEM	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.8	14.8	92.0	86.1	107.7
season	16.1	14.5		106.4	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	15.8	14.5	14.1	17.3	19.4	15.7
PHI	15.5	14.3	15.9	13.4	18.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	90	93	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.37	15	-10	25	15.4	16.9	-1.44	14.5	16.2	-1.70
Mike Conley	86	90	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.41	11	-6	17	15.8	15.6	0.13	15.2	13.5	1.65
Andrew Harrison	81	82	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-2	9	16.5	13.8	2.63	14.0	16.9	-2.99
Zach Randolph	49	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	4	-3	17.3	14.5	2.75	14.8	14.8	0.06
Tony Allen	47	49	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	5	-5	14.0	16.9	-2.88	15.6	14.2	1.44
JaMychal Green	68	67	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	5	-5	15.6	15.9	-0.27	14.7	14.9	-0.15
Troy Daniels	50	47	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	11	-17	14.5	16.7	-2.20	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Vince Carter	61	65	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.33	2	3	-1	16.2	15.2	1.06	15.0	14.5	0.51
Jarell Martin	22	22	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.02	-10	15	-25	15.7	15.7	0.00	17.1	14.3	2.88

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	55	53	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.17	6	-11	17	14.1	15.4	-1.34	15.5	15.9	-0.44
Jerryd Bayless	59	59	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.04	7	-12	19	14.0	15.7	-1.66	16.5	14.9	1.60
Sergio Rodriguez	42	40	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-9	13	16.3	14.0	2.33	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Hollis Thompson	51	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.11	2	-7	9	16.1	13.7	2.39	15.7	15.8	-0.07
Dario Saric	45	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	14.6	14.9	-0.27	14.8	16.3	-1.54
Robert Covington	92	90	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-5	5	14.3	17.0	-2.68	15.8	15.6	0.15
Ersan Ilyasova	81	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-3	1	14.3	16.1	-1.86	15.9	15.2	0.74
TJ McConnell	15	16	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	8	-21	13.1	15.1	-1.93	15.2	15.8	-0.63
Nik Stauskas	86	83	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.35	-14	9	-23	14.7	15.1	-0.35	15.8	15.6	0.22
Jahlil Okafor	49	49	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.59	-12	7	-19	16.7	13.4	3.21	16.5	15.2	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.54,0.25,0.07,0.15,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.21,0.16,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.24,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.28,0	85.9%
CHI 122, NYK 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.29,0.46,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.42,0	85.8%
POR 135, MEM 132	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.43,0.08,0	85.1%