inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 102 Excitement6.0 [634] MVPKristaps Porzingis (NYK): +28.2%
New York Knicks 105 Comeback1.4 [752] LVPBrandon Jennings (NYK): -11.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.03-0.001359%0.131-0.036100%0.04
Ish Smith0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.060.060.010.01787%0.163-0.10250%-0.01
Jon Leuer0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.030.09-0.040.031174%0.102-0.071100%0.00
Stanley Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,00.04-0.000.032248%0.0000.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.00747%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Aron Baynes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.011354%0.043-0.07250%-0.01
Marcus Morris-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.01939%-0.031-0.0300%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.280.280.220.070.002269%0.311-0.03786%0.02
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.090.04-0.011765%0.192-0.0500%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.00756%0.0600.002100%0.01
Maurice Ndour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.02250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.020.00375%0.072-0.052100%0.02
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.011547%0.031-0.03250%-0.02
Mindaugas Kuzminskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.100.03-0.021221%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.040.00735%-0.081-0.03617%-0.10
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.0140%-0.082-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.53.428.415.519.22.533.6124.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +12.1%
NYK +0.1%
NYK +28.6%
NYK +10.2%
DET -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETNYKNBADETNYKNBA
this game15.516.114.8112.1115.4107.7
season15.015.0105.0106.6
opponent14.715.1110.0106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.816.216.813.515.5
NYK13.016.516.718.616.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aron Baynes22220.05-0.550.60-0.074-71117.115.02.0914.616.6-1.99
Marcus Morris7171-0.18-0.320.15-0.387-101714.818.1-3.2715.916.7-0.77
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope7272-0.22-0.280.06-0.375-81314.918.1-3.1616.016.5-0.54
Beno Udrih2424-0.23-0.270.04-0.08-52-717.015.01.9715.816.2-0.36
Ish Smith6767-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.332-5715.017.0-1.9716.215.80.36
Stanley Johnson1919-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-85-1318.114.93.1616.516.00.54
Jon Leuer4950-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.404-71115.715.30.4016.815.31.51
Andre Drummond5656-0.510.01-0.52-0.04-1613-2916.114.61.5415.716.7-0.95
Tobias Harris7574-0.580.08-0.65-0.34-85-1315.217.2-1.9916.514.22.29

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kristaps Porzingis76780.74-0.240.970.3015-122716.016.4-0.3615.317.0-1.69
Courtney Lee56570.410.090.330.3330316.515.51.0014.217.9-3.72
Derrick Rose67670.390.110.290.3321115.717.1-1.3915.017.1-2.14
Joakim Noah49500.340.150.190.0211-81915.117.2-2.1215.315.8-0.46
Carmelo Anthony72710.270.230.030.33-25-716.016.5-0.5415.017.6-2.63
Brandon Jennings30300.260.240.010.144-1517.415.41.9916.515.11.42
Kyle O'Quinn27260.100.40-0.310.15-25-715.516.3-0.8318.214.53.65
Mindaugas Kuzminskas12120.070.43-0.36-0.0230317.515.91.6118.115.22.92
Maurice Ndour15150.050.45-0.400.11-25-715.316.2-0.9218.515.03.57
Justin Holiday43420.020.48-0.450.32-1013-2316.615.70.9116.115.11.06
Willy Hernangomez87-0.150.65-0.800.05-710-1717.715.91.8114.415.6-1.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 90, CHA 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,194.9%
TOR 87, BOS 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,194.7%
DAL 93, OKC 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%