NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	104		Excitement	3.5 [1097]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +10.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	72		Comeback	1.7 [1047]		LVP	Robert Covington (PHI): -13.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	-0.00	8	94%	0.13	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.01	0.04	8	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.10	4	92%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Edy Tavares	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeAndre Bembry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	6	21%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	-0.06	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	11	36%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	64%	0.06	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	5	46%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	54%	0.02	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	7	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.04	5	0%	-0.06	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	31.3	15.8	28.6	2.4	26.5	130.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +34.4%

ATL +4.9%

ATL +2.7%

ATL +9.4%

PHI -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.2	15.2	14.8	102.0	71.3	107.7
season	14.4	14.5		104.2	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.0	12.7	13.1	13.8	13.2
PHI	14.7	14.4	15.8	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	60	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.17	20	12	8	12.9	13.5	-0.62	15.5	14.9	0.64
Thabo Sefolosha	43	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.28	19	13	6	12.7	13.5	-0.83	14.4	15.8	-1.37
Kyle Korver	51	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	19	-6	13.0	13.3	-0.24	16.1	14.3	1.76
Malcolm Delaney	44	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.32	20	12	8	13.4	13.0	0.44	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Tim Hardaway Jr.	41	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	19	-6	12.8	13.4	-0.59	15.1	15.3	-0.13
Mike Muscala	44	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	22	-12	12.9	13.3	-0.40	15.1	15.3	-0.25
Dennis Schroder	58	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	20	-8	13.0	13.4	-0.44	15.5	14.8	0.68
Kris Humphries	48	47	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.20	13	19	-6	13.3	13.1	0.22	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Kent Bazemore	50	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	27	-22	13.5	12.8	0.75	14.8	15.6	-0.78
Dwight Howard	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.28	15	17	-2	13.0	13.3	-0.34	16.0	14.7	1.26
DeAndre Bembry	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	24	-16	14.7	12.9	1.81	15.6	15.2	0.46
Edy Tavares	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	26	-20	13.6	13.1	0.45	16.3	15.1	1.14
Taurean Prince	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	26	-20	15.7	12.8	2.88	15.6	15.2	0.46

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timothe Luwawu	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-22	12	15.7	15.2	0.50	14.2	13.0	1.23
Joel Embiid	33	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-29	26	14.6	15.5	-0.88	13.9	12.8	1.09
Gerald Henderson	38	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-30	28	15.6	15.0	0.56	13.4	13.0	0.34
Jahlil Okafor	32	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-27	22	15.3	15.2	0.12	13.6	12.9	0.68
Jerami Grant	40	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.27	-15	-17	2	15.4	15.1	0.29	12.6	13.5	-0.96
TJ McConnell	41	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.32	-18	-14	-4	14.8	15.5	-0.75	12.7	13.5	-0.75
Hollis Thompson	44	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	-18	4	15.2	15.2	-0.00	12.8	13.4	-0.60
Robert Covington	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.25	-18	-14	-4	15.1	15.3	-0.16	13.1	13.2	-0.14
Sergio Rodriguez	60	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-18	4	15.5	14.8	0.75	13.5	12.7	0.75
Dario Saric	56	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	-15	-2	15.3	15.1	0.21	13.4	12.9	0.52
Richaun Holmes	41	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.36	-24	-8	-16	15.3	15.1	0.19	12.4	13.6	-1.20
Nik Stauskas	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.23	-20	-12	-8	15.0	15.6	-0.60	13.1	13.2	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 106, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
CLE 125, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
NOH 96, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.2%